Case study

LGBBROSLTD

LG Balakrishnan

Worth a closer look1y model +3.9%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

LG Balakrishnan (LGBBROSLTD) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is LGBBROSLTD a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

LG Balakrishnan (LGBBROSLTD) trades at ₹1,565,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100.

On the numbers, LG Balakrishnan (LGBBROSLTD) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100, weighing fairly valued at 15.8× earnings, ROE of 15.6%, a 54% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

LGBBROSLTD fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹4,996 Cr
Current price
₹1,565
P/E ratio
15.8×
P/B ratio
2.32×
Book value
₹675
Dividend yield
1.28%
ROCE
19.8%
ROE
15.6%
Piotroski F-Score
4/9

Is LGBBROSLTD overvalued? LGBBROSLTD P/E vs its sector

LGBBROSLTD's P/E of 15.8× sits above the sector peer median of 15.8×, so on earnings it screens in line with peers, while its 1.28% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.

LGBBROSLTD P/E
15.8×
Peer median P/E
15.8×
LGBBROSLTD div yield
1.28%
Peer median yield
1.65%

LGBBROSLTD share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of LGBBROSLTD history (10%/yr drift, 36%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
LGBBROSLTD 2027₹1,021₹1,615₹2,555+4%
LGBBROSLTD 2028₹869₹1,665₹3,234+7%
LGBBROSLTD 2029₹776₹1,736₹3,818+12%
LGBBROSLTD 2030₹702₹1,801₹4,456+16%
LGBBROSLTD 2031₹659₹1,865₹5,233+20%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability LGBBROSLTD goes up, or doubles?

54%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
59%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
26%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹3,110 within 5 years

The bull case for LGBBROSLTD

  • A 15.8× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched.
  • A healthy 15.6% return on equity.
  • Strong ROCE (19.8%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹3,818.

The bear case & risks

  • No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹776.

LGBBROSLTD volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years LGBBROSLTD compounded at 10%/year with annualized volatility of 36%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹1,021₹2,555, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

LGBBROSLTD price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
3.9%
80% range₹1,021–₹2,555
P(price ↑)54%
P(price 2×)4%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
11.7%
80% range₹776–₹3,818
P(price ↑)57%
P(price 2×)17%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
20.0%
80% range₹659–₹5,233
P(price ↑)59%
P(price 2×)26%

LGBBROSLTD price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
LGBBROSLTD simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds LGBBROSLTD hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the LGBBROSLTD price target & forecast page.

LGBBROSLTD Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?

4/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. LGBBROSLTD scores 4/9,mixed financial health.

LGBBROSLTD MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy LGBBROSLTD with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox35.0%2.9×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST32.4%3.1×
DhanCHEAPEST32.4%3.1×

Compare every broker on the LGBBROSLTD MTF page.

LGBBROSLTD vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
LGBBROSLTD (this stock)15.8×1.28%₹4,996 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About LG Balakrishnan: sector, index & market-cap context

LG Balakrishnan (LGBBROSLTD) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹4,996 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.

How the LGBBROSLTD Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of LG Balakrishnan's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

LGBBROSLTD analysis, FAQs

Is LG Balakrishnan (LGBBROSLTD) a good buy?

On the numbers, LG Balakrishnan (LGBBROSLTD) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100, weighing fairly valued at 15.8× earnings, ROE of 15.6%, a 54% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is LGBBROSLTD overvalued or undervalued?

LGBBROSLTD trades at 15.8× earnings versus a peer median of 15.8×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.

What is the LGBBROSLTD share price target for 2031?

LGBBROSLTD's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹1,865, with an 80% range of ₹659₹5,233 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability LGBBROSLTD doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of LGBBROSLTD reaching ₹3,110 (2×) within 5 years is 26%.

What is the bull case for LGBBROSLTD?

A 15.8× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched. A healthy 15.6% return on equity. Strong ROCE (19.8%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.

What are the risks in LGBBROSLTD?

No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.

More on LGBBROSLTD