LICNMID100
LIC MF Nifty Midcap 100 ETF
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
LIC MF Nifty Midcap 100 ETF (LICNMID100) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is LICNMID100 a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100.
On the numbers, LIC MF Nifty Midcap 100 ETF (LICNMID100) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100, weighing a 66% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
How LICNMID100 ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
LICNMID100 is not currently one of the 2,373 companies in our live screener universe, so no percentile comparison is available for it here.
LICNMID100 share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.4y of LICNMID100 history (10%/yr drift, 20%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LICNMID100 2027 | ₹54 | ₹69 | ₹90 | +9% |
| LICNMID100 2028 | ₹53 | ₹76 | ₹110 | +20% |
| LICNMID100 2029 | ₹53 | ₹83 | ₹130 | +31% |
| LICNMID100 2030 | ₹54 | ₹91 | ₹154 | +44% |
| LICNMID100 2031 | ₹56 | ₹100 | ₹178 | +57% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability LICNMID100 goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for LICNMID100
- A 10,000-path probability model puts a 66% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹69 (+9%).
- Relatively low volatility (20%/yr), a steadier ride than the typical mid/small-cap.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹130.
The bear case & risks
- No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹53.
LICNMID100 volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.4 years LICNMID100 compounded at 10%/year with annualized volatility of 20%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹54-₹90, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
LICNMID100 price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
LICNMID100 price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds LICNMID100 hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the LICNMID100 price target & forecast page.
LICNMID100 MTF margin & leverage across 5 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy LICNMID100 with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 5 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 20.00% | 5.0× |
| Groww | 50.00% | 2.0× |
| Dhan | 20.00% | 5.0× |
| Anand RathiCHEAPEST | 17.78% | 5.6× |
| Share India | 20.00% | 5.0× |
Compare every broker on the LICNMID100 MTF page.
About LIC MF Nifty Midcap 100 ETF: sector, index & market-cap context
LIC MF Nifty Midcap 100 ETF (LICNMID100) is an NSE-listed company. See more stocks on our screener.
How the LICNMID100 Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of LIC MF Nifty Midcap 100 ETF's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
LICNMID100 analysis, FAQs
Is LIC MF Nifty Midcap 100 ETF (LICNMID100) a good buy?
On the numbers, LIC MF Nifty Midcap 100 ETF (LICNMID100) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100, weighing a 66% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is LICNMID100 overvalued or undervalued?
Valuation ratios for LICNMID100 are tracked live on Downstox.
What is the LICNMID100 share price target for 2031?
LICNMID100's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹100, with an 80% range of ₹56-₹178 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability LICNMID100 doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of LICNMID100 reaching ₹127 (2×) within 5 years is 30%.
What is the bull case for LICNMID100?
A 10,000-path probability model puts a 66% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹69 (+9%). Relatively low volatility (20%/yr), a steadier ride than the typical mid/small-cap.
What are the risks in LICNMID100?
No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.