LINCOLN
LINCOLN
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
LINCOLN (LINCOLN) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is LINCOLN a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
LINCOLN (LINCOLN) trades at ₹617,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 59/100.
On the numbers, LINCOLN (LINCOLN) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 59/100, weighing inexpensive at 14.1× earnings, ROE of 12.3%, a 42% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
LINCOLN fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is LINCOLN overvalued? LINCOLN P/E vs its sector
LINCOLN's P/E of 14.1× sits below the sector peer median of 14.7×, so on earnings it screens in line with peers, while its 0.29% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
LINCOLN share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of LINCOLN history (-0%/yr drift, 45%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LINCOLN 2027 | ₹312 | ₹558 | ₹983 | -9% |
| LINCOLN 2028 | ₹222 | ₹505 | ₹1,144 | -18% |
| LINCOLN 2029 | ₹168 | ₹456 | ₹1,251 | -26% |
| LINCOLN 2030 | ₹133 | ₹417 | ₹1,309 | -32% |
| LINCOLN 2031 | ₹104 | ₹370 | ₹1,341 | -40% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability LINCOLN goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for LINCOLN
- Trades at just 14.1× earnings, below the ~22× long-run Nifty average, so the valuation leaves room rather than pricing in perfection.
- A healthy 12.3% return on equity.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,251.
The bear case & risks
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 42% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹168.
LINCOLN volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years LINCOLN compounded at -0%/year with annualized volatility of 45%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹312–₹983, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
LINCOLN price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
LINCOLN price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds LINCOLN hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the LINCOLN price target & forecast page.
LINCOLN Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. LINCOLN scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
LINCOLN MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy LINCOLN with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 36.4% | 2.7× |
| Dhan | 50.0% | 2.0× |
Compare every broker on the LINCOLN MTF page.
LINCOLN vs peers,sector comparison
About LINCOLN: sector, index & market-cap context
LINCOLN (LINCOLN) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹1,239 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.
How the LINCOLN Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of LINCOLN's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
LINCOLN analysis, FAQs
Is LINCOLN (LINCOLN) a good buy?
On the numbers, LINCOLN (LINCOLN) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 59/100, weighing inexpensive at 14.1× earnings, ROE of 12.3%, a 42% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is LINCOLN overvalued or undervalued?
LINCOLN trades at 14.1× earnings versus a peer median of 14.7×, so it screens cheaper than its sector peers.
What is the LINCOLN share price target for 2031?
LINCOLN's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹370, with an 80% range of ₹104–₹1,341 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability LINCOLN doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of LINCOLN reaching ₹1,229 (2×) within 5 years is 11%.
What is the bull case for LINCOLN?
Trades at just 14.1× earnings, below the ~22× long-run Nifty average, so the valuation leaves room rather than pricing in perfection. A healthy 12.3% return on equity.
What are the risks in LINCOLN?
The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 42% chance of finishing above today's price.