LLOYDSME
Lloyds Metals
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Lloyds Metals (LLOYDSME) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is LLOYDSME a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Lloyds Metals (LLOYDSME) trades at ₹1,786,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 66/100.
On the numbers, Lloyds Metals (LLOYDSME) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 66/100, weighing premium at 27.0× earnings, ROE of 36.6%, a 81% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
LLOYDSME fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is LLOYDSME overvalued? LLOYDSME P/E vs its sector
LLOYDSME's P/E of 27.0× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.06% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
LLOYDSME share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of LLOYDSME history (45%/yr drift, 40%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LLOYDSME 2027 | ₹1,509 | ₹2,523 | ₹4,269 | +43% |
| LLOYDSME 2028 | ₹1,749 | ₹3,658 | ₹7,754 | +107% |
| LLOYDSME 2029 | ₹2,159 | ₹5,316 | ₹12,991 | +201% |
| LLOYDSME 2030 | ₹2,731 | ₹7,607 | ₹21,579 | +331% |
| LLOYDSME 2031 | ₹3,502 | ₹11,087 | ₹35,550 | +528% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability LLOYDSME goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for LLOYDSME
- High return on equity (36.6%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise.
- Strong ROCE (27.3%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
- A 10,000-path probability model puts a 81% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹2,523 (+43%).
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹12,991.
The bear case & risks
- At 27.0× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹2,159.
LLOYDSME volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years LLOYDSME compounded at 45%/year with annualized volatility of 40%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹1,509–₹4,269, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
LLOYDSME price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
LLOYDSME price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds LLOYDSME hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the LLOYDSME price target & forecast page.
LLOYDSME Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. LLOYDSME scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
LLOYDSME MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy LLOYDSME with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 33.3% | 3.0× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 33.3% | 3.0× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 33.3% | 3.0× |
Compare every broker on the LLOYDSME MTF page.
LLOYDSME vs peers,sector comparison
About Lloyds Metals: sector, index & market-cap context
Lloyds Metals (LLOYDSME) is a large-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 50 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹1.00L Cr. See more Nifty 50 stocks.
How the LLOYDSME Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Lloyds Metals's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
LLOYDSME analysis, FAQs
Is Lloyds Metals (LLOYDSME) a good buy?
On the numbers, Lloyds Metals (LLOYDSME) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 66/100, weighing premium at 27.0× earnings, ROE of 36.6%, a 81% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is LLOYDSME overvalued or undervalued?
LLOYDSME trades at 27.0× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the LLOYDSME share price target for 2031?
LLOYDSME's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹11,087, with an 80% range of ₹3,502–₹35,550 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability LLOYDSME doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of LLOYDSME reaching ₹3,532 (2×) within 5 years is 90%.
What is the bull case for LLOYDSME?
High return on equity (36.6%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise. Strong ROCE (27.3%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital. A 10,000-path probability model puts a 81% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹2,523 (+43%).
What are the risks in LLOYDSME?
At 27.0× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished.