LMW
Lakshmi Machines
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Lakshmi Machines (LMW) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is LMW a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Lakshmi Machines (LMW) trades at ₹16,688,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 27/100.
On the numbers, Lakshmi Machines (LMW) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 27/100, weighing expensive at 127.0× earnings, ROE of 5.0%, a 45% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
LMW fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is LMW overvalued? LMW P/E vs its sector
LMW's P/E of 127.0× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.21% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
LMW share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of LMW history (1%/yr drift, 30%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LMW 2027 | ₹10,887 | ₹16,092 | ₹23,571 | -3% |
| LMW 2028 | ₹8,974 | ₹15,533 | ₹26,817 | -7% |
| LMW 2029 | ₹7,678 | ₹15,010 | ₹29,381 | -10% |
| LMW 2030 | ₹6,612 | ₹14,535 | ₹31,477 | -13% |
| LMW 2031 | ₹5,802 | ₹14,043 | ₹33,849 | -16% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability LMW goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for LMW
- Lakshmi Machines is part of the nifty200 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹29,381.
The bear case & risks
- A rich 127.0× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
- Return on equity is a soft 5.0%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 45% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹7,678.
LMW volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years LMW compounded at 1%/year with annualized volatility of 30%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹10,887–₹23,571, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
LMW price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
LMW price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds LMW hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the LMW price target & forecast page.
LMW Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. LMW scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
LMW MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy LMW with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 35.0% | 2.9× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 30.0% | 3.3× |
Compare every broker on the LMW MTF page.
LMW vs peers,sector comparison
About Lakshmi Machines: sector, index & market-cap context
Lakshmi Machines (LMW) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 200 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹17,868 Cr. See more Nifty 200 stocks.
How the LMW Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Lakshmi Machines's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
LMW analysis, FAQs
Is Lakshmi Machines (LMW) a good buy?
On the numbers, Lakshmi Machines (LMW) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 27/100, weighing expensive at 127.0× earnings, ROE of 5.0%, a 45% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is LMW overvalued or undervalued?
LMW trades at 127.0× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the LMW share price target for 2031?
LMW's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹14,043, with an 80% range of ₹5,802–₹33,849 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability LMW doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of LMW reaching ₹33,330 (2×) within 5 years is 10%.
What is the bull case for LMW?
Lakshmi Machines is part of the nifty200 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
What are the risks in LMW?
A rich 127.0× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. Return on equity is a soft 5.0%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 45% chance of finishing above today's price.