LOWVOL1
Kotak Nifty 100 Low Volatility 30 ETF
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Kotak Nifty 100 Low Volatility 30 ETF (LOWVOL1) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is LOWVOL1 a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100.
On the numbers, Kotak Nifty 100 Low Volatility 30 ETF (LOWVOL1) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100, weighing a 77% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
How LOWVOL1 ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
LOWVOL1 is not currently one of the 2,373 companies in our live screener universe, so no percentile comparison is available for it here.
LOWVOL1 share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 4.3y of LOWVOL1 history (18%/yr drift, 15%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LOWVOL1 2027 | ₹20 | ₹24 | ₹29 | +11% |
| LOWVOL1 2028 | ₹21 | ₹27 | ₹35 | +24% |
| LOWVOL1 2029 | ₹22 | ₹30 | ₹42 | +38% |
| LOWVOL1 2030 | ₹23 | ₹33 | ₹49 | +54% |
| LOWVOL1 2031 | ₹24 | ₹37 | ₹57 | +72% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability LOWVOL1 goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for LOWVOL1
- A 10,000-path probability model puts a 77% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹24 (+11%).
- Relatively low volatility (15%/yr), a steadier ride than the typical mid/small-cap.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹42.
The bear case & risks
- No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹22.
LOWVOL1 volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 4.3 years LOWVOL1 compounded at 18%/year with annualized volatility of 15%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹20-₹29, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
LOWVOL1 price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
LOWVOL1 price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds LOWVOL1 hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the LOWVOL1 price target & forecast page.
LOWVOL1 MTF margin & leverage across 8 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy LOWVOL1 with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 8 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 20.00% | 5.0× |
| Zerodha | 20.00% | 5.0× |
| Groww | 20.00% | 5.0× |
| Dhan | 20.00% | 5.0× |
| Kotak Neo | 20.00% | 5.0× |
| Paytm Money | 20.00% | 5.0× |
| Fyers | 20.00% | 5.0× |
| Anand RathiCHEAPEST | 16.15% | 6.2× |
Compare every broker on the LOWVOL1 MTF page.
About Kotak Nifty 100 Low Volatility 30 ETF: sector, index & market-cap context
Kotak Nifty 100 Low Volatility 30 ETF (LOWVOL1) is an NSE-listed company. See more stocks on our screener.
How the LOWVOL1 Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Kotak Nifty 100 Low Volatility 30 ETF's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
LOWVOL1 analysis, FAQs
Is Kotak Nifty 100 Low Volatility 30 ETF (LOWVOL1) a good buy?
On the numbers, Kotak Nifty 100 Low Volatility 30 ETF (LOWVOL1) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100, weighing a 77% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is LOWVOL1 overvalued or undervalued?
Valuation ratios for LOWVOL1 are tracked live on Downstox.
What is the LOWVOL1 share price target for 2031?
LOWVOL1's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹37, with an 80% range of ₹24-₹57 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability LOWVOL1 doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of LOWVOL1 reaching ₹43 (2×) within 5 years is 32%.
What is the bull case for LOWVOL1?
A 10,000-path probability model puts a 77% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹24 (+11%). Relatively low volatility (15%/yr), a steadier ride than the typical mid/small-cap.
What are the risks in LOWVOL1?
No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.