Case study

LTF

L&T FINANCE LIMITED

Mixed signals1y model +5.1%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

49Score

L&T FINANCE LIMITED (LTF) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is LTF a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

L&T FINANCE LIMITED (LTF) trades at ₹308,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 49/100.

On the numbers, L&T FINANCE LIMITED (LTF) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 49/100, weighing fairly valued at 24.1× earnings, ROE of 11.2%, a 56% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

LTF fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹77,186 Cr
Current price
₹308
P/E ratio
24.1×
P/B ratio
2.75×
Book value
₹112
Dividend yield
0.89%
ROCE
8.4%
ROE
11.2%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How LTF ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

We do not hold a debt-to-equity ratio figure for LTF, as of 9 Aug 2026, so it is not ranked here.

Is LTF overvalued? LTF P/E vs peers

LTF trades at 24.1× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

LTF share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of LTF history (13%/yr drift, 33%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
LTF 2027₹210₹324₹498+5%
LTF 2028₹187₹340₹621+11%
LTF 2029₹170₹358₹753+16%
LTF 2030₹161₹376₹880+22%
LTF 2031₹150₹396₹1,043+28%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability LTF goes up, or doubles?

56%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
64%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
27%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹616 within 5 years

The bull case for LTF

  • LTF's P/E of 24.1x is lower than 55% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹753.

The bear case & risks

  • LTF's return on equity of 11.2% ranks in the 56th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹170.

LTF volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years LTF compounded at 13%/year with annualized volatility of 33%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹210-₹498, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

LTF price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
5.1%
80% range₹210-₹498
P(price ↑)56%
P(price 2×)3%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
16.2%
80% range₹170-₹753
P(price ↑)60%
P(price 2×)17%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
28.4%
80% range₹150-₹1,043
P(price ↑)64%
P(price 2×)27%

LTF price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
LTF simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds LTF hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the LTF price target & forecast page.

LTF Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. LTF scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

LTF MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy LTF with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox27.87%3.6×
Zerodha26.80%3.7×
Groww26.80%3.7×
DhanCHEAPEST24.39%4.1×
Kotak NeoCHEAPEST24.39%4.1×
Paytm Money24.87%4.0×
Pocketful31.76%3.1×
Anand Rathi31.39%3.2×
Bajaj Broking25.00%4.0×
Share India31.48%3.2×

Compare every broker on the LTF MTF page.

About L&T FINANCE LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context

L&T FINANCE LIMITED (LTF) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹77,186 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the LTF Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of L&T FINANCE LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

LTF analysis, FAQs

Is L&T FINANCE LIMITED (LTF) a good buy?

On the numbers, L&T FINANCE LIMITED (LTF) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 49/100, weighing fairly valued at 24.1× earnings, ROE of 11.2%, a 56% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is LTF overvalued or undervalued?

LTF trades at 24.1× earnings, fairly valued versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the LTF share price target for 2031?

LTF's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹396, with an 80% range of ₹150-₹1,043 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability LTF doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of LTF reaching ₹616 (2×) within 5 years is 27%.

What is the bull case for LTF?

LTF's P/E of 24.1x is lower than 55% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in LTF?

LTF's return on equity of 11.2% ranks in the 56th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

More on LTF