Case study

LTM

LTI Mindtree

Worth a closer look1y model -17.5%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

LTI Mindtree (LTM) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is LTM a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

LTI Mindtree (LTM) trades at ₹3,830,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 62/100.

On the numbers, LTI Mindtree (LTM) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 62/100, weighing fairly valued at 21.0× earnings, ROE of 23.1%, a 26% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

LTM fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹1.14L Cr
Current price
₹3,830
P/E ratio
21.0×
P/B ratio
4.73×
Book value
₹810
Dividend yield
1.96%
ROCE
29.6%
ROE
23.1%
Piotroski F-Score
4/9

Is LTM overvalued? LTM P/E vs its sector

LTM's P/E of 21.0× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 1.96% dividend yield is above the peer median of 1.67%.

LTM P/E
21.0×
Peer median P/E
15.9×
LTM div yield
1.96%
Peer median yield
1.67%

LTM share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of LTM history (-15%/yr drift, 30%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
LTM 2027₹2,140₹3,163₹4,667-17%
LTM 2028₹1,506₹2,613₹4,498-32%
LTM 2029₹1,107₹2,176₹4,221-43%
LTM 2030₹828₹1,796₹3,881-53%
LTM 2031₹617₹1,499₹3,536-61%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability LTM goes up, or doubles?

26%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
8%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
1%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹7,665 within 5 years

The bull case for LTM

  • A 21.0× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched.
  • High return on equity (23.1%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise.
  • Strong ROCE (29.6%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹4,221.

The bear case & risks

  • The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 26% chance of finishing above today's price.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹1,107.

LTM volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years LTM compounded at -15%/year with annualized volatility of 30%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹2,140₹4,667, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

LTM price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
17.5%
80% range₹2,140–₹4,667
P(price ↑)26%
P(price 2×)0%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
43.2%
80% range₹1,107–₹4,221
P(price ↑)14%
P(price 2×)1%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
60.9%
80% range₹617–₹3,536
P(price ↑)8%
P(price 2×)1%

LTM price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
LTM simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds LTM hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the LTM price target & forecast page.

LTM Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?

4/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. LTM scores 4/9,mixed financial health.

LTM MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy LTM with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox30.4%3.3×
Zerodha25.9%3.9×
DhanCHEAPEST23.4%4.3×

Compare every broker on the LTM MTF page.

LTM vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
LTM (this stock)21.0×1.96%₹1.14L Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About LTI Mindtree: sector, index & market-cap context

LTI Mindtree (LTM) is a large-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 50 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹1.14L Cr. See more Nifty 50 stocks.

How the LTM Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of LTI Mindtree's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

LTM analysis, FAQs

Is LTI Mindtree (LTM) a good buy?

On the numbers, LTI Mindtree (LTM) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 62/100, weighing fairly valued at 21.0× earnings, ROE of 23.1%, a 26% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is LTM overvalued or undervalued?

LTM trades at 21.0× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.

What is the LTM share price target for 2031?

LTM's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹1,499, with an 80% range of ₹617₹3,536 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability LTM doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of LTM reaching ₹7,665 (2×) within 5 years is 1%.

What is the bull case for LTM?

A 21.0× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched. High return on equity (23.1%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise. Strong ROCE (29.6%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.

What are the risks in LTM?

The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 26% chance of finishing above today's price.

More on LTM