Case study

LTTS

L&T Tech

Mixed signals1y model -21.4%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

L&T Tech (LTTS) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is LTTS a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

L&T Tech (LTTS) trades at ₹3,338,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 52/100.

On the numbers, L&T Tech (LTTS) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 52/100, weighing premium at 26.2× earnings, ROE of 21.5%, a 23% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

LTTS fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹35,409 Cr
Current price
₹3,338
P/E ratio
26.2×
P/B ratio
5.46×
Book value
₹611
Dividend yield
1.74%
ROCE
26.7%
ROE
21.5%
Piotroski F-Score
4/9

Is LTTS overvalued? LTTS P/E vs its sector

LTTS's P/E of 26.2× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 1.74% dividend yield is above the peer median of 1.67%.

LTTS P/E
26.2×
Peer median P/E
15.9×
LTTS div yield
1.74%
Peer median yield
1.67%

LTTS share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of LTTS history (-19%/yr drift, 33%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
LTTS 2027₹1,721₹2,617₹3,981-21%
LTTS 2028₹1,133₹2,058₹3,722-38%
LTTS 2029₹791₹1,605₹3,322-52%
LTTS 2030₹553₹1,257₹2,950-62%
LTTS 2031₹392₹996₹2,502-70%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability LTTS goes up, or doubles?

23%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
5%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
1%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹6,662 within 5 years

The bull case for LTTS

  • High return on equity (21.5%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise.
  • Strong ROCE (26.7%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹3,322.

The bear case & risks

  • At 26.2× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished.
  • The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 23% chance of finishing above today's price.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹791.

LTTS volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years LTTS compounded at -19%/year with annualized volatility of 33%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹1,721₹3,981, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

LTTS price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
21.4%
80% range₹1,721–₹3,981
P(price ↑)23%
P(price 2×)0%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
51.8%
80% range₹791–₹3,322
P(price ↑)10%
P(price 2×)0%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
70.1%
80% range₹392–₹2,502
P(price ↑)5%
P(price 2×)1%

LTTS price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
LTTS simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds LTTS hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the LTTS price target & forecast page.

LTTS Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?

4/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. LTTS scores 4/9,mixed financial health.

LTTS MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy LTTS with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
UpstoxCHEAPEST31.9%3.1×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST31.9%3.1×
DhanCHEAPEST31.9%3.1×

Compare every broker on the LTTS MTF page.

LTTS vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
LTTS (this stock)26.2×1.74%₹35,409 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About L&T Tech: sector, index & market-cap context

L&T Tech (LTTS) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 100 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹35,409 Cr. See more Nifty 100 stocks.

How the LTTS Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of L&T Tech's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

LTTS analysis, FAQs

Is L&T Tech (LTTS) a good buy?

On the numbers, L&T Tech (LTTS) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 52/100, weighing premium at 26.2× earnings, ROE of 21.5%, a 23% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is LTTS overvalued or undervalued?

LTTS trades at 26.2× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.

What is the LTTS share price target for 2031?

LTTS's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹996, with an 80% range of ₹392₹2,502 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability LTTS doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of LTTS reaching ₹6,662 (2×) within 5 years is 1%.

What is the bull case for LTTS?

High return on equity (21.5%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise. Strong ROCE (26.7%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.

What are the risks in LTTS?

At 26.2× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 23% chance of finishing above today's price.

More on LTTS