LUMAXIND
Lumax Industries
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Lumax Industries (LUMAXIND) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is LUMAXIND a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Lumax Industries (LUMAXIND) trades at ₹5,259,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 62/100.
On the numbers, Lumax Industries (LUMAXIND) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 62/100, weighing premium at 26.4× earnings, ROE of 22.0%, a 69% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
LUMAXIND fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is LUMAXIND overvalued? LUMAXIND P/E vs its sector
LUMAXIND's P/E of 26.4× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.67% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
LUMAXIND share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of LUMAXIND history (31%/yr drift, 44%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LUMAXIND 2027 | ₹3,724 | ₹6,592 | ₹11,442 | +25% |
| LUMAXIND 2028 | ₹3,670 | ₹8,110 | ₹18,125 | +54% |
| LUMAXIND 2029 | ₹3,760 | ₹9,907 | ₹26,938 | +88% |
| LUMAXIND 2030 | ₹4,075 | ₹12,471 | ₹38,849 | +136% |
| LUMAXIND 2031 | ₹4,410 | ₹15,315 | ₹55,325 | +190% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability LUMAXIND goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for LUMAXIND
- High return on equity (22.0%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise.
- A 10,000-path probability model puts a 69% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹6,592 (+25%).
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹26,938.
The bear case & risks
- At 26.4× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹3,760.
LUMAXIND volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years LUMAXIND compounded at 31%/year with annualized volatility of 44%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹3,724–₹11,442, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
LUMAXIND price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
LUMAXIND price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds LUMAXIND hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the LUMAXIND price target & forecast page.
LUMAXIND Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. LUMAXIND scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
LUMAXIND MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy LUMAXIND with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 37.5% | 2.7× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 37.5% | 2.7× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 37.5% | 2.7× |
Compare every broker on the LUMAXIND MTF page.
LUMAXIND vs peers,sector comparison
About Lumax Industries: sector, index & market-cap context
Lumax Industries (LUMAXIND) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹4,917 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.
How the LUMAXIND Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Lumax Industries's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
LUMAXIND analysis, FAQs
Is Lumax Industries (LUMAXIND) a good buy?
On the numbers, Lumax Industries (LUMAXIND) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 62/100, weighing premium at 26.4× earnings, ROE of 22.0%, a 69% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is LUMAXIND overvalued or undervalued?
LUMAXIND trades at 26.4× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the LUMAXIND share price target for 2031?
LUMAXIND's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹15,315, with an 80% range of ₹4,410–₹55,325 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability LUMAXIND doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of LUMAXIND reaching ₹10,559 (2×) within 5 years is 65%.
What is the bull case for LUMAXIND?
High return on equity (22.0%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise. A 10,000-path probability model puts a 69% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹6,592 (+25%).
What are the risks in LUMAXIND?
At 26.4× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished.