LUXIND
Lux Industries
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Lux Industries (LUXIND) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is LUXIND a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Lux Industries (LUXIND) trades at ₹1,252,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100.
On the numbers, Lux Industries (LUXIND) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100, weighing premium at 34.7× earnings, ROE of 6.1%, a 33% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
LUXIND fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is LUXIND overvalued? LUXIND P/E vs its sector
LUXIND's P/E of 34.7× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.16% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
LUXIND share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of LUXIND history (-9%/yr drift, 45%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LUXIND 2027 | ₹579 | ₹1,021 | ₹1,802 | -18% |
| LUXIND 2028 | ₹374 | ₹826 | ₹1,876 | -34% |
| LUXIND 2029 | ₹255 | ₹684 | ₹1,845 | -45% |
| LUXIND 2030 | ₹182 | ₹556 | ₹1,778 | -55% |
| LUXIND 2031 | ₹131 | ₹467 | ₹1,679 | -63% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability LUXIND goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for LUXIND
- Lux Industries is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,845.
The bear case & risks
- At 34.7× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished.
- Return on equity is a soft 6.1%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 33% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹255.
LUXIND volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years LUXIND compounded at -9%/year with annualized volatility of 45%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹579–₹1,802, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
LUXIND price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
LUXIND price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds LUXIND hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the LUXIND price target & forecast page.
LUXIND Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. LUXIND scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
LUXIND MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy LUXIND with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 37.4% | 2.7× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 37.4% | 2.7× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 37.4% | 2.7× |
Compare every broker on the LUXIND MTF page.
LUXIND vs peers,sector comparison
About Lux Industries: sector, index & market-cap context
Lux Industries (LUXIND) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹3,764 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.
How the LUXIND Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Lux Industries's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
LUXIND analysis, FAQs
Is Lux Industries (LUXIND) a good buy?
On the numbers, Lux Industries (LUXIND) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100, weighing premium at 34.7× earnings, ROE of 6.1%, a 33% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is LUXIND overvalued or undervalued?
LUXIND trades at 34.7× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the LUXIND share price target for 2031?
LUXIND's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹467, with an 80% range of ₹131–₹1,679 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability LUXIND doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of LUXIND reaching ₹2,492 (2×) within 5 years is 5%.
What is the bull case for LUXIND?
Lux Industries is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
What are the risks in LUXIND?
At 34.7× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished. Return on equity is a soft 6.1%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 33% chance of finishing above today's price.