Case study

MAANALU

MAANALU

High-risk on the numbers1y model -18.3%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

MAANALU (MAANALU) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is MAANALU a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

MAANALU (MAANALU) trades at ₹130,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 14/100.

On the numbers, MAANALU (MAANALU) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 14/100, weighing expensive at 1029.0× earnings, ROE of 2.9%, a 35% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

MAANALU fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹782 Cr
Current price
₹130
P/E ratio
1029.0×
P/B ratio
27.03×
Book value
₹5
ROCE
2.9%
ROE
2.9%
Piotroski F-Score
3/9

Is MAANALU overvalued? MAANALU P/E vs its sector

MAANALU's P/E of 1029.0× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers.

MAANALU P/E
1029.0×
Peer median P/E
15.9×
Peer median yield
1.66%

MAANALU share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of MAANALU history (-7%/yr drift, 52%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
MAANALU 2027₹54₹104₹200-18%
MAANALU 2028₹33₹85₹217-34%
MAANALU 2029₹22₹68₹211-46%
MAANALU 2030₹15₹55₹210-57%
MAANALU 2031₹11₹45₹198-64%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability MAANALU goes up, or doubles?

35%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
18%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
7%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹254 within 5 years

The bull case for MAANALU

  • MAANALU is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹211.

The bear case & risks

  • A rich 1029.0× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
  • A steep 27.0× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
  • Return on equity is a soft 2.9%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
  • A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.
  • The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 35% chance of finishing above today's price.
  • High historical volatility (52%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹22.

MAANALU volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years MAANALU compounded at -7%/year with annualized volatility of 52%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹54₹200, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

MAANALU price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
18.3%
80% range₹54–₹200
P(price ↑)35%
P(price 2×)4%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
46.3%
80% range₹22–₹211
P(price ↑)24%
P(price 2×)7%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
64.4%
80% range₹11–₹198
P(price ↑)18%
P(price 2×)7%

MAANALU price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
MAANALU simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds MAANALU hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the MAANALU price target & forecast page.

MAANALU Piotroski F-Score: 3/9, how financially strong is it?

3/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. MAANALU scores 3/9,weak on the financial-strength checks.

MAANALU MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy MAANALU with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
ZerodhaCHEAPEST50.0%2.0×

Compare every broker on the MAANALU MTF page.

MAANALU vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
MAANALU (this stock)1029.0×₹782 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About MAANALU: sector, index & market-cap context

MAANALU (MAANALU) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹782 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.

How the MAANALU Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of MAANALU's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

MAANALU analysis, FAQs

Is MAANALU (MAANALU) a good buy?

On the numbers, MAANALU (MAANALU) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 14/100, weighing expensive at 1029.0× earnings, ROE of 2.9%, a 35% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is MAANALU overvalued or undervalued?

MAANALU trades at 1029.0× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.

What is the MAANALU share price target for 2031?

MAANALU's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹45, with an 80% range of ₹11₹198 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability MAANALU doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of MAANALU reaching ₹254 (2×) within 5 years is 7%.

What is the bull case for MAANALU?

MAANALU is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in MAANALU?

A rich 1029.0× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. A steep 27.0× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books. Return on equity is a soft 2.9%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.

More on MAANALU