MADRASFERT
Madras Fertilizers Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Madras Fertilizers Limited (MADRASFERT) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is MADRASFERT a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Madras Fertilizers Limited (MADRASFERT) trades at ₹66,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 64/100.
On the numbers, Madras Fertilizers Limited (MADRASFERT) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 64/100, weighing inexpensive at 12.3× earnings, ROE of 292.0%, a 55% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
MADRASFERT fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How MADRASFERT ranks against the 2,374 companies in our screener
- MADRASFERT's market cap of 1,062 Cr ranks in the 40th percentile of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
- MADRASFERT's book value of ₹6 ranks in the 9th percentile of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
- MADRASFERT's promoter holding of 85.3% ranks in the top 1% of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
- MADRASFERT's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of -22.0% ranks in the 10th percentile of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
- MADRASFERT's 3-year revenue growth of -13.0% ranks in the 8th percentile of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
- MADRASFERT's debt-to-equity ratio of 6.89x is lower than 1% of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
Is MADRASFERT overvalued? MADRASFERT P/E vs peers
MADRASFERT trades at 12.3× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
MADRASFERT share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of MADRASFERT history (16%/yr drift, 38%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MADRASFERT 2027 | ₹43 | ₹70 | ₹112 | +5% |
| MADRASFERT 2028 | ₹37 | ₹73 | ₹145 | +10% |
| MADRASFERT 2029 | ₹33 | ₹76 | ₹176 | +15% |
| MADRASFERT 2030 | ₹30 | ₹80 | ₹213 | +21% |
| MADRASFERT 2031 | ₹29 | ₹84 | ₹246 | +26% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability MADRASFERT goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for MADRASFERT
- MADRASFERT's P/E of 12.2x is lower than 81% of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
- MADRASFERT's return on equity of 292.0% ranks in the top 1% of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹176.
The bear case & risks
- A steep 11.6× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
- MADRASFERT's Piotroski F-Score of 2/8 ranks in the 6th percentile of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹33.
MADRASFERT volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years MADRASFERT compounded at 16%/year with annualized volatility of 38%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹43-₹112, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
MADRASFERT price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
MADRASFERT price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds MADRASFERT hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the MADRASFERT price target & forecast page.
MADRASFERT Piotroski F-Score: 2/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. MADRASFERT scores 2/8, weak on the financial-strength checks.
MADRASFERT MTF margin & leverage across 6 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy MADRASFERT with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 6 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Dhan | 50.00% | 2.0× |
| Kotak Neo | 100.00% | 1.0× |
| Pocketful | 50.00% | 2.0× |
| Anand RathiCHEAPEST | 33.47% | 3.0× |
| Bajaj Broking | 50.00% | 2.0× |
| Share India | 33.64% | 3.0× |
Compare every broker on the MADRASFERT MTF page.
About Madras Fertilizers Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
Madras Fertilizers Limited (MADRASFERT) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹1,070 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the MADRASFERT Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Madras Fertilizers Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
MADRASFERT analysis, FAQs
Is Madras Fertilizers Limited (MADRASFERT) a good buy?
On the numbers, Madras Fertilizers Limited (MADRASFERT) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 64/100, weighing inexpensive at 12.3× earnings, ROE of 292.0%, a 55% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is MADRASFERT overvalued or undervalued?
MADRASFERT trades at 12.3× earnings, inexpensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the MADRASFERT share price target for 2031?
MADRASFERT's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹84, with an 80% range of ₹29-₹246 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability MADRASFERT doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of MADRASFERT reaching ₹133 (2×) within 5 years is 29%.
What is the bull case for MADRASFERT?
MADRASFERT's P/E of 12.2x is lower than 81% of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026. MADRASFERT's return on equity of 292.0% ranks in the top 1% of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
What are the risks in MADRASFERT?
A steep 11.6× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books. MADRASFERT's Piotroski F-Score of 2/8 ranks in the 6th percentile of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.