Case study

MAGADSUGAR

Magadh Sugar & Energy Limited

Worth a closer look1y model +2.7%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

61Score

Magadh Sugar & Energy Limited (MAGADSUGAR) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is MAGADSUGAR a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Magadh Sugar & Energy Limited (MAGADSUGAR) trades at ₹513,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100.

On the numbers, Magadh Sugar & Energy Limited (MAGADSUGAR) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100, weighing inexpensive at 14.0× earnings, ROE of 7.4%, a 53% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

MAGADSUGAR fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹723 Cr
Current price
₹513
P/E ratio
14.0×
P/B ratio
0.82×
Book value
₹625
Dividend yield
2.44%
ROCE
7.8%
ROE
7.4%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How MAGADSUGAR ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is MAGADSUGAR overvalued? MAGADSUGAR P/E vs peers

MAGADSUGAR trades at 14.0× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

MAGADSUGAR share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 8.9y of MAGADSUGAR history (10%/yr drift, 42%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
MAGADSUGAR 2027₹308₹527₹902+3%
MAGADSUGAR 2028₹258₹541₹1,135+5%
MAGADSUGAR 2029₹220₹556₹1,404+8%
MAGADSUGAR 2030₹195₹571₹1,669+11%
MAGADSUGAR 2031₹179₹586₹1,914+14%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability MAGADSUGAR goes up, or doubles?

53%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
56%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
28%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹1,026 within 5 years

The bull case for MAGADSUGAR

  • MAGADSUGAR's P/E of 14.0x is lower than 77% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Low price-to-book of 0.82×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
  • MAGADSUGAR's dividend yield of 2.4% ranks in the 90th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,404.

The bear case & risks

  • MAGADSUGAR's return on equity of 7.4% ranks in the 38th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹220.

MAGADSUGAR volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 8.9 years MAGADSUGAR compounded at 10%/year with annualized volatility of 42%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹308-₹902, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

MAGADSUGAR price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 8.9 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
2.7%
80% range₹308-₹902
P(price ↑)53%
P(price 2×)5%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
8.3%
80% range₹220-₹1,404
P(price ↑)55%
P(price 2×)19%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
14.3%
80% range₹179-₹1,914
P(price ↑)56%
P(price 2×)28%

MAGADSUGAR price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
MAGADSUGAR simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds MAGADSUGAR hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the MAGADSUGAR price target & forecast page.

MAGADSUGAR Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. MAGADSUGAR scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

MAGADSUGAR MTF margin & leverage across 5 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy MAGADSUGAR with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 5 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Zerodha50.00%2.0×
Dhan50.00%2.0×
Kotak Neo100.00%1.0×
Anand Rathi33.09%3.0×
Share IndiaCHEAPEST32.85%3.0×

Compare every broker on the MAGADSUGAR MTF page.

About Magadh Sugar & Energy Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Magadh Sugar & Energy Limited (MAGADSUGAR) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹723 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the MAGADSUGAR Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Magadh Sugar & Energy Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

MAGADSUGAR analysis, FAQs

Is Magadh Sugar & Energy Limited (MAGADSUGAR) a good buy?

On the numbers, Magadh Sugar & Energy Limited (MAGADSUGAR) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100, weighing inexpensive at 14.0× earnings, ROE of 7.4%, a 53% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is MAGADSUGAR overvalued or undervalued?

MAGADSUGAR trades at 14.0× earnings, inexpensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the MAGADSUGAR share price target for 2031?

MAGADSUGAR's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹586, with an 80% range of ₹179-₹1,914 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability MAGADSUGAR doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of MAGADSUGAR reaching ₹1,026 (2×) within 5 years is 28%.

What is the bull case for MAGADSUGAR?

MAGADSUGAR's P/E of 14.0x is lower than 77% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. Low price-to-book of 0.82×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets. MAGADSUGAR's dividend yield of 2.4% ranks in the 90th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in MAGADSUGAR?

MAGADSUGAR's return on equity of 7.4% ranks in the 38th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

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