MAHLOG
Mahindra Logistics Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Mahindra Logistics Limited (MAHLOG) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is MAHLOG a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Mahindra Logistics Limited (MAHLOG) trades at ₹403,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100.
On the numbers, Mahindra Logistics Limited (MAHLOG) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100, weighing expensive at 101.0× earnings, ROE of 0.3%, a 53% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
MAHLOG fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How MAHLOG ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- MAHLOG's market cap of 3,996 Cr ranks in the 62nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- MAHLOG's book value of ₹118 ranks in the 57th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- MAHLOG's promoter holding of 59.6% ranks in the 51st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- MAHLOG's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of -54.0% ranks in the bottom 2% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- MAHLOG's 3-year revenue growth of 11.0% ranks in the 53rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- MAHLOG's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.55x is lower than 32% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is MAHLOG overvalued? MAHLOG P/E vs peers
MAHLOG trades at 101.0× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
MAHLOG share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 8.6y of MAHLOG history (-1%/yr drift, 37%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MAHLOG 2027 | ₹260 | ₹415 | ₹664 | +3% |
| MAHLOG 2028 | ₹219 | ₹429 | ₹839 | +6% |
| MAHLOG 2029 | ₹196 | ₹442 | ₹996 | +10% |
| MAHLOG 2030 | ₹179 | ₹456 | ₹1,162 | +13% |
| MAHLOG 2031 | ₹166 | ₹471 | ₹1,334 | +17% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability MAHLOG goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for MAHLOG
- Mahindra Logistics Limited is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹996.
The bear case & risks
- MAHLOG's P/E of 101.0x is lower than 11% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- MAHLOG's return on equity of 0.3% ranks in the 12th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹196.
MAHLOG volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 8.6 years MAHLOG compounded at -1%/year with annualized volatility of 37%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹260-₹664, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
MAHLOG price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
MAHLOG price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds MAHLOG hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the MAHLOG price target & forecast page.
MAHLOG Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. MAHLOG scores 5/8, mixed financial health.
MAHLOG MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy MAHLOG with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 35.00% | 2.9× |
| Zerodha | 32.96% | 3.0× |
| Groww | 33.07% | 3.0× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 32.96% | 3.0× |
| Kotak Neo | 40.00% | 2.5× |
| Paytm Money | 33.20% | 3.0× |
| Pocketful | 33.11% | 3.0× |
| Anand Rathi | 32.96% | 3.0× |
| Bajaj Broking | 35.00% | 2.9× |
| Share India | 33.04% | 3.0× |
Compare every broker on the MAHLOG MTF page.
About Mahindra Logistics Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
Mahindra Logistics Limited (MAHLOG) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹3,996 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the MAHLOG Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Mahindra Logistics Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
MAHLOG analysis, FAQs
Is Mahindra Logistics Limited (MAHLOG) a good buy?
On the numbers, Mahindra Logistics Limited (MAHLOG) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100, weighing expensive at 101.0× earnings, ROE of 0.3%, a 53% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is MAHLOG overvalued or undervalued?
MAHLOG trades at 101.0× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the MAHLOG share price target for 2031?
MAHLOG's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹471, with an 80% range of ₹166-₹1,334 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability MAHLOG doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of MAHLOG reaching ₹805 (2×) within 5 years is 25%.
What is the bull case for MAHLOG?
Mahindra Logistics Limited is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
What are the risks in MAHLOG?
MAHLOG's P/E of 101.0x is lower than 11% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. MAHLOG's return on equity of 0.3% ranks in the 12th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.