Case study

MAITHANALL

Maithan Alloys Limited

Worth a closer look1y model +4.2%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

57Score

Maithan Alloys Limited (MAITHANALL) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is MAITHANALL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Maithan Alloys Limited (MAITHANALL) trades at ₹973,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100.

On the numbers, Maithan Alloys Limited (MAITHANALL) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100, weighing inexpensive at 6.5× earnings, ROE of 11.0%, a 54% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

MAITHANALL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹2,834 Cr
Current price
₹973
P/E ratio
6.5×
P/B ratio
0.68×
Book value
₹1,424
Dividend yield
1.13%
ROCE
14.8%
ROE
11.0%
Piotroski F-Score
4/8

How MAITHANALL ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is MAITHANALL overvalued? MAITHANALL P/E vs peers

MAITHANALL trades at 6.5× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

MAITHANALL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of MAITHANALL history (11%/yr drift, 37%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
MAITHANALL 2027₹635₹1,014₹1,619+4%
MAITHANALL 2028₹546₹1,056₹2,044+9%
MAITHANALL 2029₹486₹1,101₹2,493+13%
MAITHANALL 2030₹443₹1,147₹2,968+18%
MAITHANALL 2031₹418₹1,194₹3,409+23%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability MAITHANALL goes up, or doubles?

54%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
60%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
28%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹1,947 within 5 years

The bull case for MAITHANALL

  • MAITHANALL's P/E of 6.5x is lower than 92% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Low price-to-book of 0.68×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹2,493.

The bear case & risks

  • MAITHANALL's return on equity of 11.0% ranks in the 55th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹486.

MAITHANALL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years MAITHANALL compounded at 11%/year with annualized volatility of 37%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹635-₹1,619, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

MAITHANALL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
4.2%
80% range₹635-₹1,619
P(price ↑)54%
P(price 2×)4%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
13.1%
80% range₹486-₹2,493
P(price ↑)58%
P(price 2×)19%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
22.7%
80% range₹418-₹3,409
P(price ↑)60%
P(price 2×)28%

MAITHANALL price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
MAITHANALL simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds MAITHANALL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the MAITHANALL price target & forecast page.

MAITHANALL Piotroski F-Score: 4/8, how financially strong is it?

4/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. MAITHANALL scores 4/8, mixed financial health.

MAITHANALL MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy MAITHANALL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox35.00%2.9×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST32.78%3.1×
Groww32.95%3.0×
Dhan40.00%2.5×
Kotak Neo40.00%2.5×
Paytm Money33.59%3.0×
Pocketful33.28%3.0×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST32.78%3.1×
Bajaj Broking40.00%2.5×
Share India32.94%3.0×

Compare every broker on the MAITHANALL MTF page.

About Maithan Alloys Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Maithan Alloys Limited (MAITHANALL) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹2,834 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the MAITHANALL Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Maithan Alloys Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

MAITHANALL analysis, FAQs

Is Maithan Alloys Limited (MAITHANALL) a good buy?

On the numbers, Maithan Alloys Limited (MAITHANALL) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100, weighing inexpensive at 6.5× earnings, ROE of 11.0%, a 54% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is MAITHANALL overvalued or undervalued?

MAITHANALL trades at 6.5× earnings, inexpensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the MAITHANALL share price target for 2031?

MAITHANALL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹1,194, with an 80% range of ₹418-₹3,409 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability MAITHANALL doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of MAITHANALL reaching ₹1,947 (2×) within 5 years is 28%.

What is the bull case for MAITHANALL?

MAITHANALL's P/E of 6.5x is lower than 92% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. Low price-to-book of 0.68×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.

What are the risks in MAITHANALL?

MAITHANALL's return on equity of 11.0% ranks in the 55th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

More on MAITHANALL