Case study

MALLCOM

MALLCOM

Tread carefully1y model -6.1%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

MALLCOM (MALLCOM) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is MALLCOM a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

MALLCOM (MALLCOM) trades at ₹1,098,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 38/100.

On the numbers, MALLCOM (MALLCOM) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 38/100, weighing fairly valued at 22.8× earnings, ROE of 9.7%, a 45% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

MALLCOM fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹684 Cr
Current price
₹1,098
P/E ratio
22.8×
P/B ratio
2.15×
Book value
₹510
Dividend yield
0.27%
ROCE
11.4%
ROE
9.7%
Piotroski F-Score
4/9

Is MALLCOM overvalued? MALLCOM P/E vs its sector

MALLCOM's P/E of 22.8× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.27% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.

MALLCOM P/E
22.8×
Peer median P/E
15.9×
MALLCOM div yield
0.27%
Peer median yield
1.65%

MALLCOM share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of MALLCOM history (4%/yr drift, 46%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
MALLCOM 2027₹574₹1,032₹1,854-6%
MALLCOM 2028₹421₹971₹2,164-12%
MALLCOM 2029₹324₹904₹2,423-18%
MALLCOM 2030₹259₹844₹2,687-23%
MALLCOM 2031₹210₹779₹2,861-29%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability MALLCOM goes up, or doubles?

45%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
37%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
15%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹2,198 within 5 years

The bull case for MALLCOM

  • A 22.8× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹2,423.

The bear case & risks

  • Return on equity is a soft 9.7%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
  • The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 45% chance of finishing above today's price.
  • High historical volatility (46%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹324.

MALLCOM volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years MALLCOM compounded at 4%/year with annualized volatility of 46%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹574₹1,854, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

MALLCOM price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
6.1%
80% range₹574–₹1,854
P(price ↑)45%
P(price 2×)5%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
17.8%
80% range₹324–₹2,423
P(price ↑)40%
P(price 2×)13%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
29.2%
80% range₹210–₹2,861
P(price ↑)37%
P(price 2×)15%

MALLCOM price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
MALLCOM simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds MALLCOM hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the MALLCOM price target & forecast page.

MALLCOM Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?

4/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. MALLCOM scores 4/9,mixed financial health.

MALLCOM MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy MALLCOM with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
ZerodhaCHEAPEST50.0%2.0×

Compare every broker on the MALLCOM MTF page.

MALLCOM vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
MALLCOM (this stock)22.8×0.27%₹684 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About MALLCOM: sector, index & market-cap context

MALLCOM (MALLCOM) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹684 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.

How the MALLCOM Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of MALLCOM's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

MALLCOM analysis, FAQs

Is MALLCOM (MALLCOM) a good buy?

On the numbers, MALLCOM (MALLCOM) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 38/100, weighing fairly valued at 22.8× earnings, ROE of 9.7%, a 45% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is MALLCOM overvalued or undervalued?

MALLCOM trades at 22.8× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.

What is the MALLCOM share price target for 2031?

MALLCOM's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹779, with an 80% range of ₹210₹2,861 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability MALLCOM doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of MALLCOM reaching ₹2,198 (2×) within 5 years is 15%.

What is the bull case for MALLCOM?

A 22.8× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched.

What are the risks in MALLCOM?

Return on equity is a soft 9.7%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 45% chance of finishing above today's price. High historical volatility (46%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on MALLCOM