Case study

MANALIPETC

Manali Petrochemicals Limited

Mixed signals1y model +0.8%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

49Score

Manali Petrochemicals Limited (MANALIPETC) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is MANALIPETC a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Manali Petrochemicals Limited (MANALIPETC) trades at ₹65,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 49/100.

On the numbers, Manali Petrochemicals Limited (MANALIPETC) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 49/100, weighing fairly valued at 15.7× earnings, ROE of 6.0%, a 51% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

MANALIPETC fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹1,112 Cr
Current price
₹65
P/E ratio
15.7×
P/B ratio
0.87×
Book value
₹75
Dividend yield
0.77%
ROCE
7.2%
ROE
6.0%
Piotroski F-Score
5/8

How MANALIPETC ranks against the 2,374 companies in our screener

Is MANALIPETC overvalued? MANALIPETC P/E vs peers

MANALIPETC trades at 15.7× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

MANALIPETC share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of MANALIPETC history (8%/yr drift, 41%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
MANALIPETC 2027₹39₹65₹110+1%
MANALIPETC 2028₹31₹66₹138+2%
MANALIPETC 2029₹27₹66₹166+2%
MANALIPETC 2030₹24₹67₹190+3%
MANALIPETC 2031₹21₹67₹217+4%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability MANALIPETC goes up, or doubles?

51%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
52%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
23%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹130 within 5 years

The bull case for MANALIPETC

  • MANALIPETC's P/E of 15.4x is lower than 72% of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
  • Low price-to-book of 0.87×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹166.

The bear case & risks

  • MANALIPETC's return on equity of 6.0% ranks in the 33rd percentile of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹27.

MANALIPETC volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years MANALIPETC compounded at 8%/year with annualized volatility of 41%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹39-₹110, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

MANALIPETC price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
0.8%
80% range₹39-₹110
P(price ↑)51%
P(price 2×)5%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
2.4%
80% range₹27-₹166
P(price ↑)51%
P(price 2×)18%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
4.0%
80% range₹21-₹217
P(price ↑)52%
P(price 2×)23%

MANALIPETC price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
MANALIPETC simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds MANALIPETC hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the MANALIPETC price target & forecast page.

MANALIPETC Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?

5/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. MANALIPETC scores 5/8, mixed financial health.

MANALIPETC MTF margin & leverage across 7 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy MANALIPETC with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 7 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Zerodha50.00%2.0×
Groww35.31%2.8×
Kotak Neo100.00%1.0×
Paytm Money35.52%2.8×
Pocketful50.00%2.0×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST35.14%2.8×
Share India35.31%2.8×

Compare every broker on the MANALIPETC MTF page.

About Manali Petrochemicals Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Manali Petrochemicals Limited (MANALIPETC) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹1,112 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the MANALIPETC Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Manali Petrochemicals Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

MANALIPETC analysis, FAQs

Is Manali Petrochemicals Limited (MANALIPETC) a good buy?

On the numbers, Manali Petrochemicals Limited (MANALIPETC) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 49/100, weighing fairly valued at 15.7× earnings, ROE of 6.0%, a 51% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is MANALIPETC overvalued or undervalued?

MANALIPETC trades at 15.7× earnings, fairly valued versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the MANALIPETC share price target for 2031?

MANALIPETC's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹67, with an 80% range of ₹21-₹217 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability MANALIPETC doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of MANALIPETC reaching ₹130 (2×) within 5 years is 23%.

What is the bull case for MANALIPETC?

MANALIPETC's P/E of 15.4x is lower than 72% of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026. Low price-to-book of 0.87×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.

What are the risks in MANALIPETC?

MANALIPETC's return on equity of 6.0% ranks in the 33rd percentile of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.

More on MANALIPETC