MANAPPURAM
Manappuram Finance
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Manappuram Finance (MANAPPURAM) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is MANAPPURAM a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Manappuram Finance (MANAPPURAM) trades at ₹327,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100.
On the numbers, Manappuram Finance (MANAPPURAM) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100, weighing premium at 30.7× earnings, ROE of 7.0%, a 69% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
MANAPPURAM fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is MANAPPURAM overvalued? MANAPPURAM P/E vs its sector
MANAPPURAM's P/E of 30.7× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 1.07% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
MANAPPURAM share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of MANAPPURAM history (25%/yr drift, 37%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MANAPPURAM 2027 | ₹239 | ₹380 | ₹610 | +19% |
| MANAPPURAM 2028 | ₹239 | ₹463 | ₹902 | +45% |
| MANAPPURAM 2029 | ₹249 | ₹557 | ₹1,252 | +75% |
| MANAPPURAM 2030 | ₹264 | ₹672 | ₹1,701 | +111% |
| MANAPPURAM 2031 | ₹288 | ₹816 | ₹2,336 | +156% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability MANAPPURAM goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for MANAPPURAM
- A 10,000-path probability model puts a 69% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹380 (+19%).
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,252.
The bear case & risks
- At 30.7× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished.
- Return on equity is a soft 7.0%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹249.
MANAPPURAM volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years MANAPPURAM compounded at 25%/year with annualized volatility of 37%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹239–₹610, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
MANAPPURAM price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
MANAPPURAM price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds MANAPPURAM hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the MANAPPURAM price target & forecast page.
MANAPPURAM Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. MANAPPURAM scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
MANAPPURAM MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy MANAPPURAM with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 32.0% | 3.1× |
| Zerodha | 27.3% | 3.7× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 25.0% | 4.0× |
Compare every broker on the MANAPPURAM MTF page.
MANAPPURAM vs peers,sector comparison
About Manappuram Finance: sector, index & market-cap context
Manappuram Finance (MANAPPURAM) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 100 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹30,769 Cr. See more Nifty 100 stocks.
How the MANAPPURAM Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Manappuram Finance's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
MANAPPURAM analysis, FAQs
Is Manappuram Finance (MANAPPURAM) a good buy?
On the numbers, Manappuram Finance (MANAPPURAM) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100, weighing premium at 30.7× earnings, ROE of 7.0%, a 69% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is MANAPPURAM overvalued or undervalued?
MANAPPURAM trades at 30.7× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the MANAPPURAM share price target for 2031?
MANAPPURAM's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹816, with an 80% range of ₹288–₹2,336 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability MANAPPURAM doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of MANAPPURAM reaching ₹637 (2×) within 5 years is 62%.
What is the bull case for MANAPPURAM?
A 10,000-path probability model puts a 69% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹380 (+19%).
What are the risks in MANAPPURAM?
At 30.7× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished. Return on equity is a soft 7.0%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.