Case study

MANGLMCEM

Mangalam Cement Limited

Worth a closer look1y model +7.2%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

57Score

Mangalam Cement Limited (MANGLMCEM) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is MANGLMCEM a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Mangalam Cement Limited (MANGLMCEM) trades at ₹938,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100.

On the numbers, Mangalam Cement Limited (MANGLMCEM) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100, weighing fairly valued at 19.8× earnings, ROE of 16.3%, a 59% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

MANGLMCEM fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹2,580 Cr
Current price
₹938
P/E ratio
19.8×
P/B ratio
2.64×
Book value
₹355
Dividend yield
0.16%
ROCE
11.0%
ROE
16.3%
Piotroski F-Score
5/8

How MANGLMCEM ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is MANGLMCEM overvalued? MANGLMCEM P/E vs peers

MANGLMCEM trades at 19.8× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

MANGLMCEM share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of MANGLMCEM history (11%/yr drift, 33%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
MANGLMCEM 2027₹654₹1,006₹1,547+7%
MANGLMCEM 2028₹595₹1,079₹1,957+15%
MANGLMCEM 2029₹559₹1,157₹2,396+23%
MANGLMCEM 2030₹536₹1,241₹2,870+32%
MANGLMCEM 2031₹522₹1,330₹3,389+42%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability MANGLMCEM goes up, or doubles?

59%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
68%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
32%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹1,876 within 5 years

The bull case for MANGLMCEM

  • MANGLMCEM's P/E of 19.8x is lower than 63% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • MANGLMCEM's return on equity of 16.3% ranks in the 76th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹2,396.

The bear case & risks

  • No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹559.

MANGLMCEM volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years MANGLMCEM compounded at 11%/year with annualized volatility of 33%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹654-₹1,547, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

MANGLMCEM price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
7.2%
80% range₹654-₹1,547
P(price ↑)59%
P(price 2×)3%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
23.3%
80% range₹559-₹2,396
P(price ↑)65%
P(price 2×)20%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
41.8%
80% range₹522-₹3,389
P(price ↑)68%
P(price 2×)32%

MANGLMCEM price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
MANGLMCEM simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds MANGLMCEM hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the MANGLMCEM price target & forecast page.

MANGLMCEM Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?

5/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. MANGLMCEM scores 5/8, mixed financial health.

MANGLMCEM MTF margin & leverage across 8 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy MANGLMCEM with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 8 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
ZerodhaCHEAPEST30.15%3.3×
Groww30.31%3.3×
Dhan40.00%2.5×
Kotak Neo40.00%2.5×
Pocketful30.64%3.3×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST30.15%3.3×
Bajaj Broking50.00%2.0×
Share India30.28%3.3×

Compare every broker on the MANGLMCEM MTF page.

About Mangalam Cement Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Mangalam Cement Limited (MANGLMCEM) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹2,580 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the MANGLMCEM Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Mangalam Cement Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

MANGLMCEM analysis, FAQs

Is Mangalam Cement Limited (MANGLMCEM) a good buy?

On the numbers, Mangalam Cement Limited (MANGLMCEM) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100, weighing fairly valued at 19.8× earnings, ROE of 16.3%, a 59% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is MANGLMCEM overvalued or undervalued?

MANGLMCEM trades at 19.8× earnings, fairly valued versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the MANGLMCEM share price target for 2031?

MANGLMCEM's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹1,330, with an 80% range of ₹522-₹3,389 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability MANGLMCEM doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of MANGLMCEM reaching ₹1,876 (2×) within 5 years is 32%.

What is the bull case for MANGLMCEM?

MANGLMCEM's P/E of 19.8x is lower than 63% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. MANGLMCEM's return on equity of 16.3% ranks in the 76th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in MANGLMCEM?

No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.

More on MANGLMCEM