Case study

MANINFRA

Man Infra

Tread carefully1y model -34.5%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

Man Infra (MANINFRA) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is MANINFRA a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Man Infra (MANINFRA) trades at ₹107,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 43/100.

On the numbers, Man Infra (MANINFRA) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 43/100, weighing fairly valued at 21.5× earnings, ROE of 9.9%, a 14% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

MANINFRA fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹4,315 Cr
Current price
₹107
P/E ratio
21.5×
P/B ratio
1.90×
Book value
₹56
Dividend yield
0.84%
ROCE
13.9%
ROE
9.9%
Piotroski F-Score
4/9

Is MANINFRA overvalued? MANINFRA P/E vs its sector

MANINFRA's P/E of 21.5× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.84% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.

MANINFRA P/E
21.5×
Peer median P/E
15.9×
MANINFRA div yield
0.84%
Peer median yield
1.65%

MANINFRA share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of MANINFRA history (-35%/yr drift, 40%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
MANINFRA 2027₹41₹69₹114-34%
MANINFRA 2028₹22₹45₹93-57%
MANINFRA 2029₹12₹30₹71-72%
MANINFRA 2030₹7₹20₹54-81%
MANINFRA 2031₹4₹13₹40-88%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability MANINFRA goes up, or doubles?

14%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
1%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
0%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹210 within 5 years

The bull case for MANINFRA

  • A 21.5× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹71.

The bear case & risks

  • Return on equity is a soft 9.9%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
  • The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 14% chance of finishing above today's price.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹12.

MANINFRA volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years MANINFRA compounded at -35%/year with annualized volatility of 40%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹41₹114, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

MANINFRA price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
34.5%
80% range₹41–₹114
P(price ↑)14%
P(price 2×)0%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
71.7%
80% range₹12–₹71
P(price ↑)3%
P(price 2×)0%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
87.8%
80% range₹4–₹40
P(price ↑)1%
P(price 2×)0%

MANINFRA price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
MANINFRA simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds MANINFRA hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the MANINFRA price target & forecast page.

MANINFRA Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?

4/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. MANINFRA scores 4/9,mixed financial health.

MANINFRA MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy MANINFRA with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox35.0%2.9×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST34.3%2.9×
Dhan35.0%2.9×

Compare every broker on the MANINFRA MTF page.

MANINFRA vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
MANINFRA (this stock)21.5×0.84%₹4,315 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About Man Infra: sector, index & market-cap context

Man Infra (MANINFRA) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹4,315 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.

How the MANINFRA Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Man Infra's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

MANINFRA analysis, FAQs

Is Man Infra (MANINFRA) a good buy?

On the numbers, Man Infra (MANINFRA) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 43/100, weighing fairly valued at 21.5× earnings, ROE of 9.9%, a 14% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is MANINFRA overvalued or undervalued?

MANINFRA trades at 21.5× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.

What is the MANINFRA share price target for 2031?

MANINFRA's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹13, with an 80% range of ₹4₹40 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability MANINFRA doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of MANINFRA reaching ₹210 (2×) within 5 years is 0%.

What is the bull case for MANINFRA?

A 21.5× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched.

What are the risks in MANINFRA?

Return on equity is a soft 9.9%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 14% chance of finishing above today's price.

More on MANINFRA