MANYAVAR
Vedanta Fashions
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Vedanta Fashions (MANYAVAR) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is MANYAVAR a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Vedanta Fashions (MANYAVAR) trades at ₹417,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 52/100.
On the numbers, Vedanta Fashions (MANYAVAR) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 52/100, weighing premium at 25.2× earnings, ROE of 26.7%, a 5% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
MANYAVAR fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is MANYAVAR overvalued? MANYAVAR P/E vs its sector
MANYAVAR's P/E of 25.2× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 1.92% dividend yield is above the peer median of 1.67%.
MANYAVAR share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of MANYAVAR history (-50%/yr drift, 33%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MANYAVAR 2027 | ₹156 | ₹237 | ₹362 | -43% |
| MANYAVAR 2028 | ₹75 | ₹138 | ₹250 | -67% |
| MANYAVAR 2029 | ₹39 | ₹79 | ₹165 | -81% |
| MANYAVAR 2030 | ₹20 | ₹46 | ₹107 | -89% |
| MANYAVAR 2031 | ₹11 | ₹26 | ₹68 | -94% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability MANYAVAR goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for MANYAVAR
- High return on equity (26.7%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise.
- Strong ROCE (30.7%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹165.
The bear case & risks
- At 25.2× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished.
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 5% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹39.
MANYAVAR volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years MANYAVAR compounded at -50%/year with annualized volatility of 33%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹156–₹362, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
MANYAVAR price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
MANYAVAR price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds MANYAVAR hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the MANYAVAR price target & forecast page.
MANYAVAR Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. MANYAVAR scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
MANYAVAR MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy MANYAVAR with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 35.0% | 2.9× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 30.6% | 3.3× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 30.6% | 3.3× |
Compare every broker on the MANYAVAR MTF page.
MANYAVAR vs peers,sector comparison
About Vedanta Fashions: sector, index & market-cap context
Vedanta Fashions (MANYAVAR) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 200 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹10,131 Cr. See more Nifty 200 stocks.
How the MANYAVAR Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Vedanta Fashions's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
MANYAVAR analysis, FAQs
Is Vedanta Fashions (MANYAVAR) a good buy?
On the numbers, Vedanta Fashions (MANYAVAR) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 52/100, weighing premium at 25.2× earnings, ROE of 26.7%, a 5% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is MANYAVAR overvalued or undervalued?
MANYAVAR trades at 25.2× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the MANYAVAR share price target for 2031?
MANYAVAR's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹26, with an 80% range of ₹11–₹68 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability MANYAVAR doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of MANYAVAR reaching ₹825 (2×) within 5 years is 0%.
What is the bull case for MANYAVAR?
High return on equity (26.7%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise. Strong ROCE (30.7%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
What are the risks in MANYAVAR?
At 25.2× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 5% chance of finishing above today's price.