Case study

MARKSANS

Marksans Pharma

Mixed signals1y model +12.9%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

Marksans Pharma (MARKSANS) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is MARKSANS a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Marksans Pharma (MARKSANS) trades at ₹256,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 54/100.

On the numbers, Marksans Pharma (MARKSANS) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 54/100, weighing premium at 27.7× earnings, ROE of 15.2%, a 60% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

MARKSANS fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹11,581 Cr
Current price
₹256
P/E ratio
27.7×
P/B ratio
3.84×
Book value
₹67
Dividend yield
0.31%
ROCE
18.8%
ROE
15.2%
Piotroski F-Score
4/9

Is MARKSANS overvalued? MARKSANS P/E vs its sector

MARKSANS's P/E of 27.7× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.31% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.

MARKSANS P/E
27.7×
Peer median P/E
15.9×
MARKSANS div yield
0.31%
Peer median yield
1.65%

MARKSANS share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of MARKSANS history (23%/yr drift, 47%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
MARKSANS 2027₹158₹293₹537+13%
MARKSANS 2028₹142₹328₹763+26%
MARKSANS 2029₹129₹372₹1,056+43%
MARKSANS 2030₹121₹418₹1,403+61%
MARKSANS 2031₹122₹472₹1,841+82%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability MARKSANS goes up, or doubles?

60%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
71%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
47%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹519 within 5 years

The bull case for MARKSANS

  • A healthy 15.2% return on equity.
  • Strong ROCE (18.8%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
  • A 10,000-path probability model puts a 60% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹293 (+13%).
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,056.

The bear case & risks

  • At 27.7× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished.
  • High historical volatility (47%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹129.

MARKSANS volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years MARKSANS compounded at 23%/year with annualized volatility of 47%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹158₹537, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

MARKSANS price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
12.9%
80% range₹158–₹537
P(price ↑)60%
P(price 2×)11%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
43.4%
80% range₹129–₹1,056
P(price ↑)67%
P(price 2×)34%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
81.6%
80% range₹122–₹1,841
P(price ↑)71%
P(price 2×)47%

MARKSANS price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
MARKSANS simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds MARKSANS hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the MARKSANS price target & forecast page.

MARKSANS Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?

4/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. MARKSANS scores 4/9,mixed financial health.

MARKSANS MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy MARKSANS with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
UpstoxCHEAPEST35.9%2.8×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST35.9%2.8×
DhanCHEAPEST35.9%2.8×

Compare every broker on the MARKSANS MTF page.

MARKSANS vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
MARKSANS (this stock)27.7×0.31%₹11,581 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About Marksans Pharma: sector, index & market-cap context

Marksans Pharma (MARKSANS) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 200 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹11,581 Cr. See more Nifty 200 stocks.

How the MARKSANS Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Marksans Pharma's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

MARKSANS analysis, FAQs

Is Marksans Pharma (MARKSANS) a good buy?

On the numbers, Marksans Pharma (MARKSANS) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 54/100, weighing premium at 27.7× earnings, ROE of 15.2%, a 60% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is MARKSANS overvalued or undervalued?

MARKSANS trades at 27.7× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.

What is the MARKSANS share price target for 2031?

MARKSANS's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹472, with an 80% range of ₹122₹1,841 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability MARKSANS doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of MARKSANS reaching ₹519 (2×) within 5 years is 47%.

What is the bull case for MARKSANS?

A healthy 15.2% return on equity. Strong ROCE (18.8%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital. A 10,000-path probability model puts a 60% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹293 (+13%).

What are the risks in MARKSANS?

At 27.7× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished. High historical volatility (47%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on MARKSANS