MARSONS
MARSONS LIMITED
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
MARSONS LIMITED (MARSONS) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is MARSONS a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
MARSONS LIMITED (MARSONS) trades at ₹121,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 41/100.
On the numbers, MARSONS LIMITED (MARSONS) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 41/100, weighing expensive at 44.6× earnings, ROE of 27.2%, a 9% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
MARSONS fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is MARSONS overvalued? MARSONS P/E vs its sector
MARSONS's P/E of 44.6× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.04% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
MARSONS share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 0.3y of MARSONS history (-65%/yr drift, 65%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MARSONS 2027 | ₹22 | ₹50 | ₹113 | -57% |
| MARSONS 2028 | ₹7 | ₹22 | ₹68 | -82% |
| MARSONS 2029 | ₹2 | ₹9 | ₹39 | -92% |
| MARSONS 2030 | ₹1 | ₹4 | ₹21 | -97% |
| MARSONS 2031 | ₹0 | ₹2 | ₹11 | -99% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability MARSONS goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for MARSONS
- High return on equity (27.2%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise.
- Strong ROCE (25.4%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹39.
The bear case & risks
- A rich 44.6× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
- A steep 9.6× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 9% chance of finishing above today's price.
- High historical volatility (65%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹2.
MARSONS volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 0.3 years MARSONS compounded at -65%/year with annualized volatility of 65%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹22–₹113, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
MARSONS price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
MARSONS price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds MARSONS hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the MARSONS price target & forecast page.
MARSONS Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. MARSONS scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
MARSONS MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy MARSONS with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 38.4% | 2.6× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 38.4% | 2.6× |
| Dhan | 50.0% | 2.0× |
Compare every broker on the MARSONS MTF page.
MARSONS vs peers,sector comparison
About MARSONS LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context
MARSONS LIMITED (MARSONS) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹2,068 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.
How the MARSONS Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of MARSONS LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
MARSONS analysis, FAQs
Is MARSONS LIMITED (MARSONS) a good buy?
On the numbers, MARSONS LIMITED (MARSONS) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 41/100, weighing expensive at 44.6× earnings, ROE of 27.2%, a 9% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is MARSONS overvalued or undervalued?
MARSONS trades at 44.6× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the MARSONS share price target for 2031?
MARSONS's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹2, with an 80% range of ₹0–₹11 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability MARSONS doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of MARSONS reaching ₹234 (2×) within 5 years is 0%.
What is the bull case for MARSONS?
High return on equity (27.2%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise. Strong ROCE (25.4%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
What are the risks in MARSONS?
A rich 44.6× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. A steep 9.6× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 9% chance of finishing above today's price.