MASFIN
MAS Financial
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
MAS Financial (MASFIN) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is MASFIN a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
MAS Financial (MASFIN) trades at ₹318,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 51/100.
On the numbers, MAS Financial (MASFIN) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 51/100, weighing fairly valued at 15.4× earnings, ROE of 13.4%, a 44% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
MASFIN fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is MASFIN overvalued? MASFIN P/E vs its sector
MASFIN's P/E of 15.4× sits above the sector peer median of 15.4×, so on earnings it screens in line with peers, while its 0.54% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
MASFIN share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of MASFIN history (0%/yr drift, 30%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MASFIN 2027 | ₹209 | ₹305 | ₹447 | -4% |
| MASFIN 2028 | ₹170 | ₹293 | ₹499 | -8% |
| MASFIN 2029 | ₹145 | ₹280 | ₹540 | -12% |
| MASFIN 2030 | ₹126 | ₹269 | ₹578 | -16% |
| MASFIN 2031 | ₹109 | ₹260 | ₹605 | -19% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability MASFIN goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for MASFIN
- A 15.4× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched.
- A healthy 13.4% return on equity.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹540.
The bear case & risks
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 44% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹145.
MASFIN volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years MASFIN compounded at 0%/year with annualized volatility of 30%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹209–₹447, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
MASFIN price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
MASFIN price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds MASFIN hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the MASFIN price target & forecast page.
MASFIN Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. MASFIN scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
MASFIN MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy MASFIN with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 35.0% | 2.9× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 29.6% | 3.4× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 29.6% | 3.4× |
Compare every broker on the MASFIN MTF page.
MASFIN vs peers,sector comparison
About MAS Financial: sector, index & market-cap context
MAS Financial (MASFIN) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹5,778 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.
How the MASFIN Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of MAS Financial's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
MASFIN analysis, FAQs
Is MAS Financial (MASFIN) a good buy?
On the numbers, MAS Financial (MASFIN) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 51/100, weighing fairly valued at 15.4× earnings, ROE of 13.4%, a 44% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is MASFIN overvalued or undervalued?
MASFIN trades at 15.4× earnings versus a peer median of 15.4×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the MASFIN share price target for 2031?
MASFIN's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹260, with an 80% range of ₹109–₹605 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability MASFIN doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of MASFIN reaching ₹638 (2×) within 5 years is 9%.
What is the bull case for MASFIN?
A 15.4× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched. A healthy 13.4% return on equity.
What are the risks in MASFIN?
The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 44% chance of finishing above today's price.