Case study

MASPTOP50

Mirae Asset S&P 500 Top 50 ETF

Worth a closer look1y model +12.3%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

58Score

Mirae Asset S&P 500 Top 50 ETF (MASPTOP50) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is MASPTOP50 a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 58/100.

On the numbers, Mirae Asset S&P 500 Top 50 ETF (MASPTOP50) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 58/100, weighing a 67% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

How MASPTOP50 ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

MASPTOP50 is not currently one of the 2,373 companies in our live screener universe, so no percentile comparison is available for it here.

MASPTOP50 share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 4.8y of MASPTOP50 history (22%/yr drift, 26%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
MASPTOP50 2027₹65₹90₹126+12%
MASPTOP50 2028₹63₹102₹163+26%
MASPTOP50 2029₹64₹114₹204+42%
MASPTOP50 2030₹65₹128₹251+59%
MASPTOP50 2031₹67₹144₹306+78%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability MASPTOP50 goes up, or doubles?

67%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
84%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
43%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹161 within 5 years

The bull case for MASPTOP50

  • A 10,000-path probability model puts a 67% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹90 (+12%).
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹204.

The bear case & risks

  • No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹64.

MASPTOP50 volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 4.8 years MASPTOP50 compounded at 22%/year with annualized volatility of 26%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹65-₹126, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

MASPTOP50 price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 4.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
12.3%
80% range₹65-₹126
P(price ↑)67%
P(price 2×)2%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
41.5%
80% range₹64-₹204
P(price ↑)77%
P(price 2×)23%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
78.4%
80% range₹67-₹306
P(price ↑)84%
P(price 2×)43%

MASPTOP50 price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
MASPTOP50 simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds MASPTOP50 hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the MASPTOP50 price target & forecast page.

MASPTOP50 MTF margin & leverage across 8 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy MASPTOP50 with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 8 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox20.00%5.0×
Groww20.00%5.0×
Dhan20.00%5.0×
Kotak Neo20.00%5.0×
Paytm Money20.00%5.0×
Fyers50.00%2.0×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST18.58%5.4×
Share India20.00%5.0×

Compare every broker on the MASPTOP50 MTF page.

About Mirae Asset S&P 500 Top 50 ETF: sector, index & market-cap context

Mirae Asset S&P 500 Top 50 ETF (MASPTOP50) is an NSE-listed company. See more stocks on our screener.

How the MASPTOP50 Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Mirae Asset S&P 500 Top 50 ETF's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

MASPTOP50 analysis, FAQs

Is Mirae Asset S&P 500 Top 50 ETF (MASPTOP50) a good buy?

On the numbers, Mirae Asset S&P 500 Top 50 ETF (MASPTOP50) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 58/100, weighing a 67% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is MASPTOP50 overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation ratios for MASPTOP50 are tracked live on Downstox.

What is the MASPTOP50 share price target for 2031?

MASPTOP50's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹144, with an 80% range of ₹67-₹306 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability MASPTOP50 doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of MASPTOP50 reaching ₹161 (2×) within 5 years is 43%.

What is the bull case for MASPTOP50?

A 10,000-path probability model puts a 67% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹90 (+12%).

What are the risks in MASPTOP50?

No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.

More on MASPTOP50