Case study

MASTEK

Mastek Limited

Worth a closer look1y model +5.7%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

69Score

Mastek Limited (MASTEK) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is MASTEK a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Mastek Limited (MASTEK) trades at ₹1,832,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 69/100.

On the numbers, Mastek Limited (MASTEK) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 69/100, weighing inexpensive at 13.0× earnings, ROE of 15.6%, a 56% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

MASTEK fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹5,680 Cr
Current price
₹1,832
P/E ratio
13.0×
P/B ratio
1.90×
Book value
₹965
Dividend yield
0.44%
ROCE
18.0%
ROE
15.6%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How MASTEK ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is MASTEK overvalued? MASTEK P/E vs peers

MASTEK trades at 13.0× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

MASTEK share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of MASTEK history (27%/yr drift, 38%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
MASTEK 2027₹1,195₹1,936₹3,137+6%
MASTEK 2028₹1,035₹2,046₹4,047+12%
MASTEK 2029₹938₹2,162₹4,985+18%
MASTEK 2030₹872₹2,285₹5,990+25%
MASTEK 2031₹824₹2,415₹7,078+32%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability MASTEK goes up, or doubles?

56%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
63%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
31%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹3,664 within 5 years

The bull case for MASTEK

  • MASTEK's P/E of 13.0x is lower than 80% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • MASTEK's return on equity of 15.6% ranks in the 73rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • MASTEK's return on capital employed of 18.0% ranks in the 75th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹4,985.

The bear case & risks

  • No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹938.

MASTEK volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years MASTEK compounded at 27%/year with annualized volatility of 38%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹1,195-₹3,137, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

MASTEK price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
5.7%
80% range₹1,195-₹3,137
P(price ↑)56%
P(price 2×)5%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
18.0%
80% range₹938-₹4,985
P(price ↑)60%
P(price 2×)20%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
31.8%
80% range₹824-₹7,078
P(price ↑)63%
P(price 2×)31%

MASTEK price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
MASTEK simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds MASTEK hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the MASTEK price target & forecast page.

MASTEK Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. MASTEK scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

MASTEK MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy MASTEK with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox35.00%2.9×
Zerodha33.20%3.0×
Groww33.35%3.0×
Dhan33.20%3.0×
Kotak Neo33.22%3.0×
Paytm Money35.00%2.9×
PocketfulCHEAPEST33.15%3.0×
Anand Rathi33.20%3.0×
Bajaj Broking34.00%2.9×
Share India33.31%3.0×

Compare every broker on the MASTEK MTF page.

Which ace investors hold MASTEK?

Held by 1 tracked superstar investor (from public NSE/BSE disclosures):

About Mastek Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Mastek Limited (MASTEK) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹5,680 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the MASTEK Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Mastek Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

MASTEK analysis, FAQs

Is Mastek Limited (MASTEK) a good buy?

On the numbers, Mastek Limited (MASTEK) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 69/100, weighing inexpensive at 13.0× earnings, ROE of 15.6%, a 56% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is MASTEK overvalued or undervalued?

MASTEK trades at 13.0× earnings, inexpensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the MASTEK share price target for 2031?

MASTEK's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹2,415, with an 80% range of ₹824-₹7,078 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability MASTEK doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of MASTEK reaching ₹3,664 (2×) within 5 years is 31%.

What is the bull case for MASTEK?

MASTEK's P/E of 13.0x is lower than 80% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. MASTEK's return on equity of 15.6% ranks in the 73rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. MASTEK's return on capital employed of 18.0% ranks in the 75th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in MASTEK?

No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.

More on MASTEK