Case study

MATRIMONY

MATRIMONY.COM LIMITED

Mixed signals1y model +3.3%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

47Score

MATRIMONY.COM LIMITED (MATRIMONY) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is MATRIMONY a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

MATRIMONY.COM LIMITED (MATRIMONY) trades at ₹481,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100.

On the numbers, MATRIMONY.COM LIMITED (MATRIMONY) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100, weighing premium at 29.1× earnings, ROE of 15.2%, a 54% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

MATRIMONY fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹994 Cr
Current price
₹481
P/E ratio
29.1×
P/B ratio
4.81×
Book value
₹100
Dividend yield
1.04%
ROCE
17.4%
ROE
15.2%
Piotroski F-Score
4/8

How MATRIMONY ranks against the 2,371 companies in our screener

We do not hold a 3-year revenue growth figure for MATRIMONY, as of 8 Aug 2026, so it is not ranked here.

Is MATRIMONY overvalued? MATRIMONY P/E vs peers

MATRIMONY trades at 29.1× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

MATRIMONY share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 8.7y of MATRIMONY history (-7%/yr drift, 35%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
MATRIMONY 2027₹319₹496₹772+3%
MATRIMONY 2028₹275₹513₹955+7%
MATRIMONY 2029₹242₹529₹1,157+10%
MATRIMONY 2030₹229₹547₹1,305+14%
MATRIMONY 2031₹210₹564₹1,518+17%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability MATRIMONY goes up, or doubles?

54%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
58%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
24%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹962 within 5 years

The bull case for MATRIMONY

  • MATRIMONY's return on equity of 15.2% ranks in the 72nd percentile of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,157.

The bear case & risks

  • MATRIMONY's P/E of 29.1x is lower than 48% of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹242.

MATRIMONY volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 8.7 years MATRIMONY compounded at -7%/year with annualized volatility of 35%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹319-₹772, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

MATRIMONY price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 8.7 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
3.3%
80% range₹319-₹772
P(price ↑)54%
P(price 2×)3%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
10.1%
80% range₹242-₹1,157
P(price ↑)56%
P(price 2×)16%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
17.4%
80% range₹210-₹1,518
P(price ↑)58%
P(price 2×)24%

MATRIMONY price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
MATRIMONY simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds MATRIMONY hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the MATRIMONY price target & forecast page.

MATRIMONY Piotroski F-Score: 4/8, how financially strong is it?

4/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. MATRIMONY scores 4/8, mixed financial health.

MATRIMONY MTF margin & leverage across 6 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy MATRIMONY with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 6 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Dhan50.00%2.0×
Kotak Neo100.00%1.0×
Pocketful50.00%2.0×
Anand Rathi30.63%3.3×
Bajaj Broking50.00%2.0×
Share IndiaCHEAPEST30.16%3.3×

Compare every broker on the MATRIMONY MTF page.

About MATRIMONY.COM LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context

MATRIMONY.COM LIMITED (MATRIMONY) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹994 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the MATRIMONY Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of MATRIMONY.COM LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

MATRIMONY analysis, FAQs

Is MATRIMONY.COM LIMITED (MATRIMONY) a good buy?

On the numbers, MATRIMONY.COM LIMITED (MATRIMONY) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100, weighing premium at 29.1× earnings, ROE of 15.2%, a 54% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is MATRIMONY overvalued or undervalued?

MATRIMONY trades at 29.1× earnings, premium versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the MATRIMONY share price target for 2031?

MATRIMONY's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹564, with an 80% range of ₹210-₹1,518 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability MATRIMONY doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of MATRIMONY reaching ₹962 (2×) within 5 years is 24%.

What is the bull case for MATRIMONY?

MATRIMONY's return on equity of 15.2% ranks in the 72nd percentile of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in MATRIMONY?

MATRIMONY's P/E of 29.1x is lower than 48% of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.

More on MATRIMONY