Case study

MAXHEALTH

Max Healthcare

Tread carefully1y model +5.2%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

Max Healthcare (MAXHEALTH) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is MAXHEALTH a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Max Healthcare (MAXHEALTH) trades at ₹1,095,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 41/100.

On the numbers, Max Healthcare (MAXHEALTH) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 41/100, weighing expensive at 71.7× earnings, ROE of 14.8%, a 57% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

MAXHEALTH fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹1.06L Cr
Current price
₹1,095
P/E ratio
71.7×
P/B ratio
9.95×
Book value
₹110
Dividend yield
0.14%
ROCE
14.7%
ROE
14.8%
Piotroski F-Score
4/9

Is MAXHEALTH overvalued? MAXHEALTH P/E vs its Healthcare

MAXHEALTH's P/E of 71.7× sits above the Healthcare peer median of 17.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.14% dividend yield is below the peer median of 0.81%.

MAXHEALTH P/E
71.7×
Peer median P/E
17.9×
MAXHEALTH div yield
0.14%
Peer median yield
0.81%

MAXHEALTH share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of MAXHEALTH history (10%/yr drift, 32%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
MAXHEALTH 2027₹765₹1,153₹1,727+5%
MAXHEALTH 2028₹681₹1,212₹2,130+11%
MAXHEALTH 2029₹627₹1,276₹2,547+17%
MAXHEALTH 2030₹592₹1,338₹2,993+22%
MAXHEALTH 2031₹564₹1,411₹3,471+29%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability MAXHEALTH goes up, or doubles?

57%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
64%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
26%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹2,190 within 5 years

The bull case for MAXHEALTH

  • A healthy 14.8% return on equity.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹2,547.

The bear case & risks

  • A rich 71.7× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
  • A steep 9.9× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹627.

MAXHEALTH volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years MAXHEALTH compounded at 10%/year with annualized volatility of 32%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹765₹1,727, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

MAXHEALTH price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
5.2%
80% range₹765–₹1,727
P(price ↑)57%
P(price 2×)2%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
16.5%
80% range₹627–₹2,547
P(price ↑)61%
P(price 2×)16%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
28.9%
80% range₹564–₹3,471
P(price ↑)64%
P(price 2×)26%

MAXHEALTH price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
MAXHEALTH simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds MAXHEALTH hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the MAXHEALTH price target & forecast page.

MAXHEALTH Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?

4/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. MAXHEALTH scores 4/9,mixed financial health.

MAXHEALTH MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy MAXHEALTH with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox29.6%3.4×
Zerodha25.2%4.0×
DhanCHEAPEST24.0%4.2×

Compare every broker on the MAXHEALTH MTF page.

MAXHEALTH vs peers,Healthcare comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
MAXHEALTH (this stock)71.7×0.14%₹1.06L Cr
APOLLOHOSP62.2×0.22%₹1.22L Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr

About Max Healthcare: sector, index & market-cap context

Max Healthcare (MAXHEALTH) is a large-cap NSE-listed company in the Healthcare sector, and a constituent of the Nifty 50 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹1.06L Cr. See more Nifty 50 stocks.

How the MAXHEALTH Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Max Healthcare's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

MAXHEALTH analysis, FAQs

Is Max Healthcare (MAXHEALTH) a good buy?

On the numbers, Max Healthcare (MAXHEALTH) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 41/100, weighing expensive at 71.7× earnings, ROE of 14.8%, a 57% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is MAXHEALTH overvalued or undervalued?

MAXHEALTH trades at 71.7× earnings versus a peer median of 17.9×, so it screens richer than its Healthcare peers.

What is the MAXHEALTH share price target for 2031?

MAXHEALTH's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹1,411, with an 80% range of ₹564₹3,471 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability MAXHEALTH doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of MAXHEALTH reaching ₹2,190 (2×) within 5 years is 26%.

What is the bull case for MAXHEALTH?

A healthy 14.8% return on equity.

What are the risks in MAXHEALTH?

A rich 71.7× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. A steep 9.9× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.

More on MAXHEALTH