MBAPL
Madhya Bharat Agro P. Ltd
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Madhya Bharat Agro P. Ltd (MBAPL) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is MBAPL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Madhya Bharat Agro P. Ltd (MBAPL) trades at ₹158,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 52/100.
On the numbers, Madhya Bharat Agro P. Ltd (MBAPL) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 52/100, weighing expensive at 44.7× earnings, ROE of 31.3%, a 57% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
MBAPL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How MBAPL ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- MBAPL's market cap of 6,926 Cr ranks in the 70th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- MBAPL's book value of ₹13 ranks in the 14th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- MBAPL's promoter holding of 74.8% ranks in the 91st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- MBAPL's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 6.0% ranks in the 37th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- MBAPL's 3-year revenue growth of 24.0% ranks in the 79th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- MBAPL's debt-to-equity ratio of 1.56x is lower than 8% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is MBAPL overvalued? MBAPL P/E vs peers
MBAPL trades at 44.7× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
MBAPL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.7y of MBAPL history (48%/yr drift, 39%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MBAPL 2027 | ₹101 | ₹169 | ₹282 | +7% |
| MBAPL 2028 | ₹88 | ₹181 | ₹373 | +14% |
| MBAPL 2029 | ₹80 | ₹193 | ₹465 | +22% |
| MBAPL 2030 | ₹76 | ₹207 | ₹565 | +31% |
| MBAPL 2031 | ₹73 | ₹221 | ₹675 | +40% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability MBAPL goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for MBAPL
- MBAPL's return on equity of 31.3% ranks in the top 5% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- MBAPL's return on capital employed of 19.3% ranks in the 79th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹465.
The bear case & risks
- MBAPL's P/E of 44.7x is lower than 30% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- A steep 12.5× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹80.
MBAPL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.7 years MBAPL compounded at 48%/year with annualized volatility of 39%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹101-₹282, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
MBAPL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
MBAPL price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds MBAPL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the MBAPL price target & forecast page.
MBAPL Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. MBAPL scores 5/8, mixed financial health.
MBAPL MTF margin & leverage across 7 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy MBAPL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 7 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 34.64% | 2.9× |
| Dhan | 64.00% | 1.6× |
| Kotak Neo | 100.00% | 1.0× |
| Paytm Money | 100.00% | 1.0× |
| Fyers | 62.50% | 1.6× |
| Anand Rathi | 50.00% | 2.0× |
| Share India | 34.76% | 2.9× |
Compare every broker on the MBAPL MTF page.
About Madhya Bharat Agro P. Ltd: sector, index & market-cap context
Madhya Bharat Agro P. Ltd (MBAPL) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹6,926 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the MBAPL Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Madhya Bharat Agro P. Ltd's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
MBAPL analysis, FAQs
Is Madhya Bharat Agro P. Ltd (MBAPL) a good buy?
On the numbers, Madhya Bharat Agro P. Ltd (MBAPL) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 52/100, weighing expensive at 44.7× earnings, ROE of 31.3%, a 57% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is MBAPL overvalued or undervalued?
MBAPL trades at 44.7× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the MBAPL share price target for 2031?
MBAPL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹221, with an 80% range of ₹73-₹675 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability MBAPL doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of MBAPL reaching ₹316 (2×) within 5 years is 34%.
What is the bull case for MBAPL?
MBAPL's return on equity of 31.3% ranks in the top 5% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. MBAPL's return on capital employed of 19.3% ranks in the 79th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
What are the risks in MBAPL?
MBAPL's P/E of 44.7x is lower than 30% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. A steep 12.5× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.