Case study

MCLOUD

MAGELLANIC CLOUD LIMITED

Worth a closer look1y model -6.5%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

63Score

MAGELLANIC CLOUD LIMITED (MCLOUD) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is MCLOUD a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

MAGELLANIC CLOUD LIMITED (MCLOUD) trades at ₹30,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 63/100.

On the numbers, MAGELLANIC CLOUD LIMITED (MCLOUD) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 63/100, weighing fairly valued at 15.1× earnings, ROE of 19.2%, a 46% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

MCLOUD fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹1,748 Cr
Current price
₹30
P/E ratio
15.1×
P/B ratio
2.56×
Book value
₹12
Dividend yield
0.10%
ROCE
19.8%
ROE
19.2%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How MCLOUD ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is MCLOUD overvalued? MCLOUD P/E vs peers

MCLOUD trades at 15.1× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

MCLOUD share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of MCLOUD history (32%/yr drift, 68%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
MCLOUD 2027₹12₹28₹66-6%
MCLOUD 2028₹7₹26₹91-13%
MCLOUD 2029₹5₹24₹110-18%
MCLOUD 2030₹4₹23₹133-24%
MCLOUD 2031₹3₹21₹148-28%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability MCLOUD goes up, or doubles?

46%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
41%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
25%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹59 within 5 years

The bull case for MCLOUD

  • MCLOUD's P/E of 15.1x is lower than 74% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • MCLOUD's return on equity of 19.2% ranks in the 82nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • MCLOUD's return on capital employed of 19.8% ranks in the 80th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹110.

The bear case & risks

  • High historical volatility (68%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹5.

MCLOUD volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years MCLOUD compounded at 32%/year with annualized volatility of 68%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹12-₹66, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

MCLOUD price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
6.5%
80% range₹12-₹66
P(price ↑)46%
P(price 2×)13%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
18.2%
80% range₹5-₹110
P(price ↑)44%
P(price 2×)23%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
28.5%
80% range₹3-₹148
P(price ↑)41%
P(price 2×)25%

MCLOUD price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
MCLOUD simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds MCLOUD hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the MCLOUD price target & forecast page.

MCLOUD Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. MCLOUD scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

MCLOUD MTF margin & leverage across 7 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy MCLOUD with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 7 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox45.31%2.2×
Groww45.61%2.2×
Dhan50.00%2.0×
Kotak Neo100.00%1.0×
Paytm Money51.61%1.9×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST45.26%2.2×
Share India45.53%2.2×

Compare every broker on the MCLOUD MTF page.

About MAGELLANIC CLOUD LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context

MAGELLANIC CLOUD LIMITED (MCLOUD) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹1,748 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the MCLOUD Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of MAGELLANIC CLOUD LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

MCLOUD analysis, FAQs

Is MAGELLANIC CLOUD LIMITED (MCLOUD) a good buy?

On the numbers, MAGELLANIC CLOUD LIMITED (MCLOUD) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 63/100, weighing fairly valued at 15.1× earnings, ROE of 19.2%, a 46% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is MCLOUD overvalued or undervalued?

MCLOUD trades at 15.1× earnings, fairly valued versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the MCLOUD share price target for 2031?

MCLOUD's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹21, with an 80% range of ₹3-₹148 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability MCLOUD doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of MCLOUD reaching ₹59 (2×) within 5 years is 25%.

What is the bull case for MCLOUD?

MCLOUD's P/E of 15.1x is lower than 74% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. MCLOUD's return on equity of 19.2% ranks in the 82nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. MCLOUD's return on capital employed of 19.8% ranks in the 80th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in MCLOUD?

High historical volatility (68%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on MCLOUD