METROBRAND
Metro Brands
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Metro Brands (METROBRAND) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is METROBRAND a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Metro Brands (METROBRAND) trades at ₹1,044,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 46/100.
On the numbers, Metro Brands (METROBRAND) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 46/100, weighing expensive at 69.2× earnings, ROE of 22.2%, a 32% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
METROBRAND fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is METROBRAND overvalued? METROBRAND P/E vs its sector
METROBRAND's P/E of 69.2× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.53% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
METROBRAND share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of METROBRAND history (-9%/yr drift, 30%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| METROBRAND 2027 | ₹622 | ₹903 | ₹1,322 | -13% |
| METROBRAND 2028 | ₹469 | ₹788 | ₹1,341 | -24% |
| METROBRAND 2029 | ₹360 | ₹690 | ₹1,325 | -34% |
| METROBRAND 2030 | ₹278 | ₹601 | ₹1,291 | -42% |
| METROBRAND 2031 | ₹227 | ₹525 | ₹1,250 | -49% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability METROBRAND goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for METROBRAND
- High return on equity (22.2%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise.
- Strong ROCE (20.2%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,325.
The bear case & risks
- A rich 69.2× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
- A steep 14.3× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 32% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹360.
METROBRAND volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years METROBRAND compounded at -9%/year with annualized volatility of 30%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹622–₹1,322, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
METROBRAND price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
METROBRAND price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds METROBRAND hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the METROBRAND price target & forecast page.
METROBRAND Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. METROBRAND scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
METROBRAND MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy METROBRAND with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 35.0% | 2.9× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 29.9% | 3.3× |
| Dhan | 30.0% | 3.3× |
Compare every broker on the METROBRAND MTF page.
Which ace investors hold METROBRAND?
Held by 1 tracked superstar investor (from public NSE/BSE disclosures):
METROBRAND vs peers,sector comparison
About Metro Brands: sector, index & market-cap context
Metro Brands (METROBRAND) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 200 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹28,460 Cr. See more Nifty 200 stocks.
How the METROBRAND Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Metro Brands's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
METROBRAND analysis, FAQs
Is Metro Brands (METROBRAND) a good buy?
On the numbers, Metro Brands (METROBRAND) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 46/100, weighing expensive at 69.2× earnings, ROE of 22.2%, a 32% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is METROBRAND overvalued or undervalued?
METROBRAND trades at 69.2× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the METROBRAND share price target for 2031?
METROBRAND's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹525, with an 80% range of ₹227–₹1,250 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability METROBRAND doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of METROBRAND reaching ₹2,075 (2×) within 5 years is 2%.
What is the bull case for METROBRAND?
High return on equity (22.2%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise. Strong ROCE (20.2%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
What are the risks in METROBRAND?
A rich 69.2× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. A steep 14.3× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 32% chance of finishing above today's price.