Case study

METROPOLIS

Metropolis Healthcare

Tread carefully1y model +2.3%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

Metropolis Healthcare (METROPOLIS) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is METROPOLIS a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Metropolis Healthcare (METROPOLIS) trades at ₹540,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 41/100.

On the numbers, Metropolis Healthcare (METROPOLIS) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 41/100, weighing expensive at 57.1× earnings, ROE of 13.8%, a 53% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

METROPOLIS fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹11,217 Cr
Current price
₹540
P/E ratio
57.1×
P/B ratio
7.40×
Book value
₹73
Dividend yield
0.37%
ROCE
17.8%
ROE
13.8%
Piotroski F-Score
4/9

Is METROPOLIS overvalued? METROPOLIS P/E vs its sector

METROPOLIS's P/E of 57.1× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.37% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.

METROPOLIS P/E
57.1×
Peer median P/E
15.9×
METROPOLIS div yield
0.37%
Peer median yield
1.65%

METROPOLIS share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of METROPOLIS history (7%/yr drift, 29%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
METROPOLIS 2027₹389₹566₹819+2%
METROPOLIS 2028₹341₹582₹987+5%
METROPOLIS 2029₹308₹592₹1,147+7%
METROPOLIS 2030₹287₹611₹1,298+11%
METROPOLIS 2031₹270₹629₹1,462+14%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability METROPOLIS goes up, or doubles?

53%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
57%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
19%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹1,106 within 5 years

The bull case for METROPOLIS

  • A healthy 13.8% return on equity.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,147.

The bear case & risks

  • A rich 57.1× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹308.

METROPOLIS volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years METROPOLIS compounded at 7%/year with annualized volatility of 29%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹389₹819, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

METROPOLIS price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
2.3%
80% range₹389–₹819
P(price ↑)53%
P(price 2×)1%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
7.1%
80% range₹308–₹1,147
P(price ↑)56%
P(price 2×)11%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
13.8%
80% range₹270–₹1,462
P(price ↑)57%
P(price 2×)19%

METROPOLIS price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
METROPOLIS simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds METROPOLIS hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the METROPOLIS price target & forecast page.

METROPOLIS Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?

4/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. METROPOLIS scores 4/9,mixed financial health.

METROPOLIS MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy METROPOLIS with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox35.0%2.9×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST29.7%3.4×
DhanCHEAPEST29.7%3.4×

Compare every broker on the METROPOLIS MTF page.

METROPOLIS vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
METROPOLIS (this stock)57.1×0.37%₹11,217 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About Metropolis Healthcare: sector, index & market-cap context

Metropolis Healthcare (METROPOLIS) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 200 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹11,217 Cr. See more Nifty 200 stocks.

How the METROPOLIS Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Metropolis Healthcare's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

METROPOLIS analysis, FAQs

Is Metropolis Healthcare (METROPOLIS) a good buy?

On the numbers, Metropolis Healthcare (METROPOLIS) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 41/100, weighing expensive at 57.1× earnings, ROE of 13.8%, a 53% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is METROPOLIS overvalued or undervalued?

METROPOLIS trades at 57.1× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.

What is the METROPOLIS share price target for 2031?

METROPOLIS's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹629, with an 80% range of ₹270₹1,462 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability METROPOLIS doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of METROPOLIS reaching ₹1,106 (2×) within 5 years is 19%.

What is the bull case for METROPOLIS?

A healthy 13.8% return on equity.

What are the risks in METROPOLIS?

A rich 57.1× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.

More on METROPOLIS