Case study

MHLXMIRU

Mahalaxmi Rubtech Ltd

Screens weak1y model -6.0%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

44Score

Mahalaxmi Rubtech Ltd (MHLXMIRU) Stock Analysis & Case Study

What the numbers say about MHLXMIRU, and the method behind each one.

Mahalaxmi Rubtech Ltd (MHLXMIRU) trades at ₹189,on the numbers it screens weak, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 44/100.

On the numbers, Mahalaxmi Rubtech Ltd (MHLXMIRU) screens weak, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 44/100, weighing fairly valued at 22.0× earnings, ROE of 8.5%, a 46% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

MHLXMIRU fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹200 Cr
Current price
₹189
P/E ratio
22.0×
P/B ratio
2.19×
Book value
₹86
ROCE
10.2%
ROE
8.5%
Piotroski F-Score
5/8

How MHLXMIRU ranks against the 2,982 companies in our screener

Is MHLXMIRU overvalued? MHLXMIRU P/E vs peers

MHLXMIRU trades at 22.0× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

MHLXMIRU share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of MHLXMIRU history (19%/yr drift, 61%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
MHLXMIRU 2027₹81₹177₹389-6%
MHLXMIRU 2028₹55₹167₹503-12%
MHLXMIRU 2029₹41₹157₹593-17%
MHLXMIRU 2030₹31₹147₹703-22%
MHLXMIRU 2031₹24₹138₹784-27%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability MHLXMIRU goes up, or doubles?

46%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
41%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
23%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹377 within 5 years

The bull case for MHLXMIRU

  • MHLXMIRU's P/E of 22.0x is lower than 54% of the 2,982 NSE companies in our screener, as of 14 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹593.

The bear case & risks

  • MHLXMIRU's return on equity of 8.5% ranks in the 40th percentile of the 2,982 NSE companies in our screener, as of 14 Aug 2026.
  • High historical volatility (61%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹41.

MHLXMIRU volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years MHLXMIRU compounded at 19%/year with annualized volatility of 61%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹81-₹389, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

MHLXMIRU price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
6.0%
80% range₹81-₹389
P(price ↑)46%
P(price 2×)11%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
16.9%
80% range₹41-₹593
P(price ↑)43%
P(price 2×)20%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
26.6%
80% range₹24-₹784
P(price ↑)41%
P(price 2×)23%

MHLXMIRU price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
MHLXMIRU simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds MHLXMIRU hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the MHLXMIRU price target & forecast page.

MHLXMIRU Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?

5/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. MHLXMIRU scores 5/8, mixed financial health.

About Mahalaxmi Rubtech Ltd: sector, index & market-cap context

Mahalaxmi Rubtech Ltd (MHLXMIRU) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹200 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the MHLXMIRU Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Mahalaxmi Rubtech Ltd's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

MHLXMIRU analysis, FAQs

Is Mahalaxmi Rubtech Ltd (MHLXMIRU) a good buy?

On the numbers, Mahalaxmi Rubtech Ltd (MHLXMIRU) screens weak, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 44/100, weighing fairly valued at 22.0× earnings, ROE of 8.5%, a 46% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is MHLXMIRU overvalued or undervalued?

MHLXMIRU trades at 22.0× earnings, fairly valued versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the MHLXMIRU share price target for 2031?

MHLXMIRU's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹138, with an 80% range of ₹24-₹784 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability MHLXMIRU doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of MHLXMIRU reaching ₹377 (2×) within 5 years is 23%.

What is the bull case for MHLXMIRU?

MHLXMIRU's P/E of 22.0x is lower than 54% of the 2,982 NSE companies in our screener, as of 14 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in MHLXMIRU?

MHLXMIRU's return on equity of 8.5% ranks in the 40th percentile of the 2,982 NSE companies in our screener, as of 14 Aug 2026. High historical volatility (61%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on MHLXMIRU

For information and education only. Downstox is a data and analytics platform, not a SEBI-registered Research Analyst or Investment Adviser. Nothing here is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security. Any scores, ranks, targets or scenarios are model estimates shown with their method, not forecasts or assured outcomes. Markets carry risk; do your own research and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.