Case study

MIDCAPETF

Mirae Asset Nifty Midcap 150 ETF Exchange Traded Fund Units

Worth a closer look1y model +9.4%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

61Score

Mirae Asset Nifty Midcap 150 ETF Exchange Traded Fund Units (MIDCAPETF) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is MIDCAPETF a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100.

On the numbers, Mirae Asset Nifty Midcap 150 ETF Exchange Traded Fund Units (MIDCAPETF) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100, weighing a 69% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

How MIDCAPETF ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

MIDCAPETF is not currently one of the 2,373 companies in our live screener universe, so no percentile comparison is available for it here.

MIDCAPETF share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.1y of MIDCAPETF history (7%/yr drift, 17%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
MIDCAPETF 2027₹21₹26₹33+9%
MIDCAPETF 2028₹21₹29₹39+20%
MIDCAPETF 2029₹21₹31₹46+31%
MIDCAPETF 2030₹22₹34₹54+43%
MIDCAPETF 2031₹22₹37₹62+56%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability MIDCAPETF goes up, or doubles?

69%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
87%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
27%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹48 within 5 years

The bull case for MIDCAPETF

  • A 10,000-path probability model puts a 69% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹26 (+9%).
  • Relatively low volatility (17%/yr), a steadier ride than the typical mid/small-cap.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹46.

The bear case & risks

  • No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹21.

MIDCAPETF volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.1 years MIDCAPETF compounded at 7%/year with annualized volatility of 17%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹21-₹33, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

MIDCAPETF price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.1 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
9.4%
80% range₹21-₹33
P(price ↑)69%
P(price 2×)0%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
30.8%
80% range₹21-₹46
P(price ↑)81%
P(price 2×)8%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
56.4%
80% range₹22-₹62
P(price ↑)87%
P(price 2×)27%

MIDCAPETF price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
MIDCAPETF simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds MIDCAPETF hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the MIDCAPETF price target & forecast page.

MIDCAPETF MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy MIDCAPETF with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox20.00%5.0×
Zerodha20.00%5.0×
Groww20.00%5.0×
Dhan20.00%5.0×
Kotak Neo20.00%5.0×
Paytm Money20.00%5.0×
Pocketful20.00%5.0×
Fyers20.00%5.0×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST16.66%6.0×
Share India20.00%5.0×

Compare every broker on the MIDCAPETF MTF page.

About Mirae Asset Nifty Midcap 150 ETF Exchange Traded Fund Units: sector, index & market-cap context

Mirae Asset Nifty Midcap 150 ETF Exchange Traded Fund Units (MIDCAPETF) is an NSE-listed company. See more stocks on our screener.

How the MIDCAPETF Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Mirae Asset Nifty Midcap 150 ETF Exchange Traded Fund Units's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

MIDCAPETF analysis, FAQs

Is Mirae Asset Nifty Midcap 150 ETF Exchange Traded Fund Units (MIDCAPETF) a good buy?

On the numbers, Mirae Asset Nifty Midcap 150 ETF Exchange Traded Fund Units (MIDCAPETF) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100, weighing a 69% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is MIDCAPETF overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation ratios for MIDCAPETF are tracked live on Downstox.

What is the MIDCAPETF share price target for 2031?

MIDCAPETF's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹37, with an 80% range of ₹22-₹62 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability MIDCAPETF doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of MIDCAPETF reaching ₹48 (2×) within 5 years is 27%.

What is the bull case for MIDCAPETF?

A 10,000-path probability model puts a 69% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹26 (+9%). Relatively low volatility (17%/yr), a steadier ride than the typical mid/small-cap.

What are the risks in MIDCAPETF?

No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.

More on MIDCAPETF