MIDHANI
Mishra Dhatu Nigam Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Mishra Dhatu Nigam Limited (MIDHANI) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is MIDHANI a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Mishra Dhatu Nigam Limited (MIDHANI) trades at ₹435,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100.
On the numbers, Mishra Dhatu Nigam Limited (MIDHANI) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100, weighing expensive at 62.0× earnings, ROE of 8.9%, a 51% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
MIDHANI fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How MIDHANI ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- MIDHANI's market cap of 8,152 Cr ranks in the 73rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- MIDHANI's book value of ₹82 ranks in the 46th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- MIDHANI's promoter holding of 74.0% ranks in the 86th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- MIDHANI's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of -6.0% ranks in the 23rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- MIDHANI's 3-year revenue growth of 12.0% ranks in the 55th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- MIDHANI's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.27x is lower than 55% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is MIDHANI overvalued? MIDHANI P/E vs peers
MIDHANI trades at 62.0× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
MIDHANI share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 8.2y of MIDHANI history (19%/yr drift, 44%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIDHANI 2027 | ₹249 | ₹442 | ₹782 | +2% |
| MIDHANI 2028 | ₹200 | ₹448 | ₹1,005 | +3% |
| MIDHANI 2029 | ₹171 | ₹455 | ₹1,210 | +5% |
| MIDHANI 2030 | ₹148 | ₹462 | ₹1,439 | +6% |
| MIDHANI 2031 | ₹132 | ₹469 | ₹1,664 | +8% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability MIDHANI goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for MIDHANI
- Mishra Dhatu Nigam Limited is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,210.
The bear case & risks
- MIDHANI's P/E of 62.0x is lower than 20% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- MIDHANI's return on equity of 8.9% ranks in the 43rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹171.
MIDHANI volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 8.2 years MIDHANI compounded at 19%/year with annualized volatility of 44%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹249-₹782, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
MIDHANI price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
MIDHANI price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds MIDHANI hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the MIDHANI price target & forecast page.
MIDHANI Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. MIDHANI scores 5/8, mixed financial health.
MIDHANI MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy MIDHANI with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 35.42% | 2.8× |
| Zerodha | 35.37% | 2.8× |
| Groww | 35.44% | 2.8× |
| Dhan | 35.37% | 2.8× |
| Kotak NeoCHEAPEST | 35.34% | 2.8× |
| Paytm Money | 35.60% | 2.8× |
| Pocketful | 35.88% | 2.8× |
| Anand Rathi | 35.37% | 2.8× |
| Bajaj Broking | 37.00% | 2.7× |
| Share India | 35.41% | 2.8× |
Compare every broker on the MIDHANI MTF page.
About Mishra Dhatu Nigam Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
Mishra Dhatu Nigam Limited (MIDHANI) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹8,152 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the MIDHANI Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Mishra Dhatu Nigam Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
MIDHANI analysis, FAQs
Is Mishra Dhatu Nigam Limited (MIDHANI) a good buy?
On the numbers, Mishra Dhatu Nigam Limited (MIDHANI) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100, weighing expensive at 62.0× earnings, ROE of 8.9%, a 51% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is MIDHANI overvalued or undervalued?
MIDHANI trades at 62.0× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the MIDHANI share price target for 2031?
MIDHANI's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹469, with an 80% range of ₹132-₹1,664 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability MIDHANI doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of MIDHANI reaching ₹870 (2×) within 5 years is 26%.
What is the bull case for MIDHANI?
Mishra Dhatu Nigam Limited is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
What are the risks in MIDHANI?
MIDHANI's P/E of 62.0x is lower than 20% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. MIDHANI's return on equity of 8.9% ranks in the 43rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.