Case study

MIDHANI

MIDHANI

High-risk on the numbers1y model -11.0%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

MIDHANI (MIDHANI) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is MIDHANI a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

MIDHANI (MIDHANI) trades at ₹442,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 27/100.

On the numbers, MIDHANI (MIDHANI) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 27/100, weighing expensive at 63.0× earnings, ROE of 8.9%, a 40% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

MIDHANI fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹8,280 Cr
Current price
₹442
P/E ratio
63.0×
P/B ratio
5.40×
Book value
₹82
Dividend yield
0.19%
ROCE
11.3%
ROE
8.9%
Piotroski F-Score
4/9

Is MIDHANI overvalued? MIDHANI P/E vs its sector

MIDHANI's P/E of 63.0× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.19% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.

MIDHANI P/E
63.0×
Peer median P/E
15.9×
MIDHANI div yield
0.19%
Peer median yield
1.65%

MIDHANI share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of MIDHANI history (-3%/yr drift, 45%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
MIDHANI 2027₹219₹389₹682-11%
MIDHANI 2028₹153₹341₹763-22%
MIDHANI 2029₹112₹295₹801-32%
MIDHANI 2030₹83₹262₹834-40%
MIDHANI 2031₹64₹231₹828-47%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability MIDHANI goes up, or doubles?

40%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
26%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
9%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹874 within 5 years

The bull case for MIDHANI

  • MIDHANI is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹801.

The bear case & risks

  • A rich 63.0× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
  • Return on equity is a soft 8.9%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
  • The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 40% chance of finishing above today's price.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹112.

MIDHANI volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years MIDHANI compounded at -3%/year with annualized volatility of 45%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹219₹682, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

MIDHANI price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
11.0%
80% range₹219–₹682
P(price ↑)40%
P(price 2×)3%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
32.4%
80% range₹112–₹801
P(price ↑)31%
P(price 2×)8%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
47.2%
80% range₹64–₹828
P(price ↑)26%
P(price 2×)9%

MIDHANI price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
MIDHANI simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds MIDHANI hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the MIDHANI price target & forecast page.

MIDHANI Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?

4/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. MIDHANI scores 4/9,mixed financial health.

MIDHANI MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy MIDHANI with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
UpstoxCHEAPEST36.3%2.8×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST36.3%2.8×
DhanCHEAPEST36.3%2.8×

Compare every broker on the MIDHANI MTF page.

MIDHANI vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
MIDHANI (this stock)63.0×0.19%₹8,280 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About MIDHANI: sector, index & market-cap context

MIDHANI (MIDHANI) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹8,280 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.

How the MIDHANI Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of MIDHANI's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

MIDHANI analysis, FAQs

Is MIDHANI (MIDHANI) a good buy?

On the numbers, MIDHANI (MIDHANI) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 27/100, weighing expensive at 63.0× earnings, ROE of 8.9%, a 40% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is MIDHANI overvalued or undervalued?

MIDHANI trades at 63.0× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.

What is the MIDHANI share price target for 2031?

MIDHANI's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹231, with an 80% range of ₹64₹828 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability MIDHANI doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of MIDHANI reaching ₹874 (2×) within 5 years is 9%.

What is the bull case for MIDHANI?

MIDHANI is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in MIDHANI?

A rich 63.0× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. Return on equity is a soft 8.9%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 40% chance of finishing above today's price.

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