Case study

MIDWESTLTD

MIDWEST LIMITED

High-risk on the numbers1y model +4.0%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

MIDWEST LIMITED (MIDWESTLTD) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is MIDWESTLTD a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

MIDWEST LIMITED (MIDWESTLTD) trades at ₹1,300,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 28/100.

On the numbers, MIDWEST LIMITED (MIDWESTLTD) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 28/100, weighing expensive at 44.8× earnings, ROE of 13.3%, a 53% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

MIDWESTLTD fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹4,701 Cr
Current price
₹1,300
P/E ratio
44.8×
P/B ratio
4.89×
Book value
₹266
ROCE
15.4%
ROE
13.3%
Piotroski F-Score
3/9

Is MIDWESTLTD overvalued? MIDWESTLTD P/E vs its sector

MIDWESTLTD's P/E of 44.8× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers.

MIDWESTLTD P/E
44.8×
Peer median P/E
15.9×
Peer median yield
1.66%

MIDWESTLTD share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 0.6y of MIDWESTLTD history (19%/yr drift, 56%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
MIDWESTLTD 2027₹650₹1,342₹2,715+4%
MIDWESTLTD 2028₹496₹1,392₹3,849+8%
MIDWESTLTD 2029₹411₹1,428₹5,076+11%
MIDWESTLTD 2030₹353₹1,506₹6,293+17%
MIDWESTLTD 2031₹323₹1,528₹7,811+18%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability MIDWESTLTD goes up, or doubles?

53%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
56%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
34%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹2,580 within 5 years

The bull case for MIDWESTLTD

  • A healthy 13.3% return on equity.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹5,076.

The bear case & risks

  • A rich 44.8× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
  • A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.
  • High historical volatility (56%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹411.

MIDWESTLTD volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 0.6 years MIDWESTLTD compounded at 19%/year with annualized volatility of 56%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹650₹2,715, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

MIDWESTLTD price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 0.6 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
4.0%
80% range₹650–₹2,715
P(price ↑)53%
P(price 2×)12%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
10.7%
80% range₹411–₹5,076
P(price ↑)54%
P(price 2×)27%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
18.4%
80% range₹323–₹7,811
P(price ↑)56%
P(price 2×)34%

MIDWESTLTD price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
MIDWESTLTD simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds MIDWESTLTD hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the MIDWESTLTD price target & forecast page.

MIDWESTLTD Piotroski F-Score: 3/9, how financially strong is it?

3/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. MIDWESTLTD scores 3/9,weak on the financial-strength checks.

MIDWESTLTD MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy MIDWESTLTD with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox35.0%2.9×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST33.9%3.0×
DhanCHEAPEST33.9%3.0×

Compare every broker on the MIDWESTLTD MTF page.

MIDWESTLTD vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
MIDWESTLTD (this stock)44.8×₹4,701 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About MIDWEST LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context

MIDWEST LIMITED (MIDWESTLTD) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹4,701 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.

How the MIDWESTLTD Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of MIDWEST LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

MIDWESTLTD analysis, FAQs

Is MIDWEST LIMITED (MIDWESTLTD) a good buy?

On the numbers, MIDWEST LIMITED (MIDWESTLTD) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 28/100, weighing expensive at 44.8× earnings, ROE of 13.3%, a 53% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is MIDWESTLTD overvalued or undervalued?

MIDWESTLTD trades at 44.8× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.

What is the MIDWESTLTD share price target for 2031?

MIDWESTLTD's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹1,528, with an 80% range of ₹323₹7,811 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability MIDWESTLTD doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of MIDWESTLTD reaching ₹2,580 (2×) within 5 years is 34%.

What is the bull case for MIDWESTLTD?

A healthy 13.3% return on equity.

What are the risks in MIDWESTLTD?

A rich 44.8× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing. High historical volatility (56%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on MIDWESTLTD