Case study

MIRZAINT

MIRZAINT

High-risk on the numbers1y model -22.0%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

MIRZAINT (MIRZAINT) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is MIRZAINT a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

MIRZAINT (MIRZAINT) trades at ₹33,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 24/100.

On the numbers, MIRZAINT (MIRZAINT) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 24/100, weighing expensive at 40.7× earnings, ROE of -3.2%, a 29% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

MIRZAINT fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹460 Cr
Current price
₹33
P/E ratio
40.7×
P/B ratio
0.82×
Book value
₹41
ROCE
-1.8%
ROE
-3.2%
Piotroski F-Score
1/9

Is MIRZAINT overvalued? MIRZAINT P/E vs its sector

MIRZAINT's P/E of 40.7× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers.

MIRZAINT P/E
40.7×
Peer median P/E
15.9×
Peer median yield
1.66%

MIRZAINT share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of MIRZAINT history (-15%/yr drift, 44%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
MIRZAINT 2027₹15₹26₹46-22%
MIRZAINT 2028₹9₹20₹45-39%
MIRZAINT 2029₹6₹16₹42-53%
MIRZAINT 2030₹4₹12₹38-63%
MIRZAINT 2031₹3₹10₹35-71%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability MIRZAINT goes up, or doubles?

29%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
11%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
2%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹67 within 5 years

The bull case for MIRZAINT

  • Low price-to-book of 0.82×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹42.

The bear case & risks

  • A rich 40.7× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
  • A low Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.
  • The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 29% chance of finishing above today's price.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹6.

MIRZAINT volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years MIRZAINT compounded at -15%/year with annualized volatility of 44%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹15₹46, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

MIRZAINT price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
22.0%
80% range₹15–₹46
P(price ↑)29%
P(price 2×)2%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
52.7%
80% range₹6–₹42
P(price ↑)16%
P(price 2×)3%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
71.4%
80% range₹3–₹35
P(price ↑)11%
P(price 2×)2%

MIRZAINT price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
MIRZAINT simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds MIRZAINT hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the MIRZAINT price target & forecast page.

MIRZAINT Piotroski F-Score: 1/9, how financially strong is it?

1/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. MIRZAINT scores 1/9,weak on the financial-strength checks.

MIRZAINT MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy MIRZAINT with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
DhanCHEAPEST60.0%1.7×

Compare every broker on the MIRZAINT MTF page.

MIRZAINT vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
MIRZAINT (this stock)40.7×₹460 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About MIRZAINT: sector, index & market-cap context

MIRZAINT (MIRZAINT) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹460 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.

How the MIRZAINT Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of MIRZAINT's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

MIRZAINT analysis, FAQs

Is MIRZAINT (MIRZAINT) a good buy?

On the numbers, MIRZAINT (MIRZAINT) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 24/100, weighing expensive at 40.7× earnings, ROE of -3.2%, a 29% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is MIRZAINT overvalued or undervalued?

MIRZAINT trades at 40.7× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.

What is the MIRZAINT share price target for 2031?

MIRZAINT's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹10, with an 80% range of ₹3₹35 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability MIRZAINT doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of MIRZAINT reaching ₹67 (2×) within 5 years is 2%.

What is the bull case for MIRZAINT?

Low price-to-book of 0.82×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.

What are the risks in MIRZAINT?

A rich 40.7× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. A low Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 29% chance of finishing above today's price.

More on MIRZAINT