Case study

MIRZAINT

Mirza International Limited

Tread carefully1y model +1.2%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

30Score

Mirza International Limited (MIRZAINT) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is MIRZAINT a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Mirza International Limited (MIRZAINT) trades at ₹33,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 30/100.

On the numbers, Mirza International Limited (MIRZAINT) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 30/100, weighing expensive at 40.7× earnings, ROE of -3.6%, a 51% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

MIRZAINT fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹459 Cr
Current price
₹33
P/E ratio
40.7×
P/B ratio
0.82×
Book value
₹41
ROCE
-1.8%
ROE
-3.6%
Piotroski F-Score
1/8

How MIRZAINT ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is MIRZAINT overvalued? MIRZAINT P/E vs peers

MIRZAINT trades at 40.7× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

MIRZAINT share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of MIRZAINT history (10%/yr drift, 44%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
MIRZAINT 2027₹19₹34₹58+1%
MIRZAINT 2028₹15₹34₹75+2%
MIRZAINT 2029₹13₹34₹91+4%
MIRZAINT 2030₹11₹35₹108+5%
MIRZAINT 2031₹10₹35₹127+6%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability MIRZAINT goes up, or doubles?

51%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
53%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
26%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹66 within 5 years

The bull case for MIRZAINT

  • Low price-to-book of 0.82×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹91.

The bear case & risks

  • MIRZAINT's P/E of 40.7x is lower than 33% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • MIRZAINT's Piotroski F-Score of 1/8 ranks in the bottom 1% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹13.

MIRZAINT volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years MIRZAINT compounded at 10%/year with annualized volatility of 44%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹19-₹58, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

MIRZAINT price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
1.2%
80% range₹19-₹58
P(price ↑)51%
P(price 2×)6%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
3.7%
80% range₹13-₹91
P(price ↑)52%
P(price 2×)20%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
6.2%
80% range₹10-₹127
P(price ↑)53%
P(price 2×)26%

MIRZAINT price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
MIRZAINT simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds MIRZAINT hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the MIRZAINT price target & forecast page.

MIRZAINT Piotroski F-Score: 1/8, how financially strong is it?

1/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. MIRZAINT scores 1/8, weak on the financial-strength checks.

MIRZAINT MTF margin & leverage across 1 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy MIRZAINT with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 1 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
PocketfulCHEAPEST50.00%2.0×

Compare every broker on the MIRZAINT MTF page.

About Mirza International Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Mirza International Limited (MIRZAINT) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹459 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the MIRZAINT Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Mirza International Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

MIRZAINT analysis, FAQs

Is Mirza International Limited (MIRZAINT) a good buy?

On the numbers, Mirza International Limited (MIRZAINT) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 30/100, weighing expensive at 40.7× earnings, ROE of -3.6%, a 51% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is MIRZAINT overvalued or undervalued?

MIRZAINT trades at 40.7× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the MIRZAINT share price target for 2031?

MIRZAINT's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹35, with an 80% range of ₹10-₹127 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability MIRZAINT doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of MIRZAINT reaching ₹66 (2×) within 5 years is 26%.

What is the bull case for MIRZAINT?

Low price-to-book of 0.82×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.

What are the risks in MIRZAINT?

MIRZAINT's P/E of 40.7x is lower than 33% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. MIRZAINT's Piotroski F-Score of 1/8 ranks in the bottom 1% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

More on MIRZAINT