MMP
MMP Industries Ltd.
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
MMP Industries Ltd. (MMP) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is MMP a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
MMP Industries Ltd. (MMP) trades at ₹326,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 49/100.
On the numbers, MMP Industries Ltd. (MMP) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 49/100, weighing fairly valued at 21.5× earnings, ROE of 11.5%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
MMP fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How MMP ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- MMP's market cap of 829 Cr ranks in the 36th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- MMP's book value of ₹136 ranks in the 61st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- MMP's promoter holding of 74.5% ranks in the 89th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- MMP's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 22.0% ranks in the 59th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- MMP's 3-year revenue growth of 15.0% ranks in the 63rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- MMP's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.53x is lower than 33% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is MMP overvalued? MMP P/E vs peers
MMP trades at 21.5× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
MMP share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 8.1y of MMP history (9%/yr drift, 43%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MMP 2027 | ₹194 | ₹335 | ₹577 | +3% |
| MMP 2028 | ₹161 | ₹343 | ₹733 | +5% |
| MMP 2029 | ₹138 | ₹352 | ₹901 | +8% |
| MMP 2030 | ₹122 | ₹362 | ₹1,067 | +11% |
| MMP 2031 | ₹112 | ₹371 | ₹1,233 | +14% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability MMP goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for MMP
- MMP's P/E of 21.5x is lower than 60% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹901.
The bear case & risks
- MMP's return on equity of 11.5% ranks in the 57th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹138.
MMP volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 8.1 years MMP compounded at 9%/year with annualized volatility of 43%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹194-₹577, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
MMP price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
MMP price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds MMP hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the MMP price target & forecast page.
MMP Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. MMP scores 6/8, mixed financial health.
MMP MTF margin & leverage across 3 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy MMP with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 3 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Zerodha | 50.00% | 2.0× |
| Pocketful | 50.00% | 2.0× |
| Share IndiaCHEAPEST | 34.92% | 2.9× |
Compare every broker on the MMP MTF page.
About MMP Industries Ltd.: sector, index & market-cap context
MMP Industries Ltd. (MMP) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹829 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the MMP Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of MMP Industries Ltd.'s public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
MMP analysis, FAQs
Is MMP Industries Ltd. (MMP) a good buy?
On the numbers, MMP Industries Ltd. (MMP) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 49/100, weighing fairly valued at 21.5× earnings, ROE of 11.5%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is MMP overvalued or undervalued?
MMP trades at 21.5× earnings, fairly valued versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the MMP share price target for 2031?
MMP's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹371, with an 80% range of ₹112-₹1,233 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability MMP doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of MMP reaching ₹653 (2×) within 5 years is 28%.
What is the bull case for MMP?
MMP's P/E of 21.5x is lower than 60% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
What are the risks in MMP?
MMP's return on equity of 11.5% ranks in the 57th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.