MMP
MMP
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
MMP (MMP) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is MMP a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
MMP (MMP) trades at ₹290,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 43/100.
On the numbers, MMP (MMP) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 43/100, weighing fairly valued at 19.1× earnings, ROE of 11.5%, a 39% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
MMP fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is MMP overvalued? MMP P/E vs its sector
MMP's P/E of 19.1× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.69% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
MMP share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of MMP history (-3%/yr drift, 43%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MMP 2027 | ₹139 | ₹241 | ₹419 | -11% |
| MMP 2028 | ₹99 | ₹214 | ₹462 | -21% |
| MMP 2029 | ₹73 | ₹193 | ₹484 | -29% |
| MMP 2030 | ₹57 | ₹170 | ₹504 | -37% |
| MMP 2031 | ₹45 | ₹151 | ₹499 | -44% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability MMP goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for MMP
- A 19.1× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹484.
The bear case & risks
- Return on equity is a soft 11.5%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 39% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹73.
MMP volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years MMP compounded at -3%/year with annualized volatility of 43%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹139–₹419, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
MMP price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
MMP price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds MMP hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the MMP price target & forecast page.
MMP Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. MMP scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
MMP MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy MMP with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 50.0% | 2.0× |
Compare every broker on the MMP MTF page.
MMP vs peers,sector comparison
About MMP: sector, index & market-cap context
MMP (MMP) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹737 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.
How the MMP Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of MMP's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
MMP analysis, FAQs
Is MMP (MMP) a good buy?
On the numbers, MMP (MMP) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 43/100, weighing fairly valued at 19.1× earnings, ROE of 11.5%, a 39% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is MMP overvalued or undervalued?
MMP trades at 19.1× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the MMP share price target for 2031?
MMP's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹151, with an 80% range of ₹45–₹499 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability MMP doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of MMP reaching ₹540 (2×) within 5 years is 9%.
What is the bull case for MMP?
A 19.1× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched.
What are the risks in MMP?
Return on equity is a soft 11.5%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 39% chance of finishing above today's price.