Case study

MMTC

MMTC LIMITED

High-risk on the numbers1y model +1.7%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

20Score

MMTC LIMITED (MMTC) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is MMTC a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

MMTC LIMITED (MMTC) trades at ₹64,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 20/100.

On the numbers, MMTC LIMITED (MMTC) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 20/100, weighing expensive at 95.9× earnings, ROE of 5.2%, a 51% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

MMTC fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹9,597 Cr
Current price
₹64
P/E ratio
95.9×
P/B ratio
4.54×
Book value
₹14
ROCE
8.7%
ROE
5.2%
Piotroski F-Score
3/8

How MMTC ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

We do not hold a debt-to-equity ratio figure for MMTC, as of 9 Aug 2026, so it is not ranked here.

Is MMTC overvalued? MMTC P/E vs peers

MMTC trades at 95.9× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

MMTC share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of MMTC history (8%/yr drift, 45%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
MMTC 2027₹37₹65₹116+2%
MMTC 2028₹29₹66₹150+3%
MMTC 2029₹25₹67₹184+5%
MMTC 2030₹21₹68₹218+7%
MMTC 2031₹19₹69₹251+9%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability MMTC goes up, or doubles?

51%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
54%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
27%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹128 within 5 years

The bull case for MMTC

  • MMTC LIMITED is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹184.

The bear case & risks

  • MMTC's P/E of 95.9x is lower than 11% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • MMTC's return on equity of 5.2% ranks in the 30th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • MMTC's Piotroski F-Score of 3/8 ranks in the 15th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • High historical volatility (45%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹25.

MMTC volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years MMTC compounded at 8%/year with annualized volatility of 45%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹37-₹116, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

MMTC price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
1.7%
80% range₹37-₹116
P(price ↑)51%
P(price 2×)7%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
5.1%
80% range₹25-₹184
P(price ↑)53%
P(price 2×)20%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
8.6%
80% range₹19-₹251
P(price ↑)54%
P(price 2×)27%

MMTC price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
MMTC simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds MMTC hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the MMTC price target & forecast page.

MMTC Piotroski F-Score: 3/8, how financially strong is it?

3/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. MMTC scores 3/8, weak on the financial-strength checks.

MMTC MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy MMTC with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox37.09%2.7×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST37.03%2.7×
Groww37.29%2.7×
DhanCHEAPEST37.03%2.7×
Kotak Neo40.00%2.5×
Paytm Money37.41%2.7×
Pocketful37.76%2.6×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST37.03%2.7×
Bajaj Broking39.00%2.6×
Share India37.25%2.7×

Compare every broker on the MMTC MTF page.

About MMTC LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context

MMTC LIMITED (MMTC) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹9,597 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the MMTC Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of MMTC LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

MMTC analysis, FAQs

Is MMTC LIMITED (MMTC) a good buy?

On the numbers, MMTC LIMITED (MMTC) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 20/100, weighing expensive at 95.9× earnings, ROE of 5.2%, a 51% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is MMTC overvalued or undervalued?

MMTC trades at 95.9× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the MMTC share price target for 2031?

MMTC's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹69, with an 80% range of ₹19-₹251 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability MMTC doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of MMTC reaching ₹128 (2×) within 5 years is 27%.

What is the bull case for MMTC?

MMTC LIMITED is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in MMTC?

MMTC's P/E of 95.9x is lower than 11% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. MMTC's return on equity of 5.2% ranks in the 30th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. MMTC's Piotroski F-Score of 3/8 ranks in the 15th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

More on MMTC