MODEFENCE
MOTILALAMC - MODEFENCE
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
MOTILALAMC - MODEFENCE (MODEFENCE) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is MODEFENCE a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 58/100.
On the numbers, MOTILALAMC - MODEFENCE (MODEFENCE) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 58/100, weighing a 68% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
MODEFENCE share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 1.8y of MODEFENCE history (17%/yr drift, 29%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MODEFENCE 2027 | ₹84 | ₹121 | ₹174 | +14% |
| MODEFENCE 2028 | ₹82 | ₹137 | ₹229 | +30% |
| MODEFENCE 2029 | ₹84 | ₹156 | ₹293 | +48% |
| MODEFENCE 2030 | ₹87 | ₹178 | ₹367 | +69% |
| MODEFENCE 2031 | ₹91 | ₹204 | ₹459 | +93% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability MODEFENCE goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for MODEFENCE
- A 10,000-path probability model puts a 68% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹121 (+14%).
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹293.
The bear case & risks
- No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹84.
MODEFENCE volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 1.8 years MODEFENCE compounded at 17%/year with annualized volatility of 29%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹84–₹174, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
MODEFENCE price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
MODEFENCE price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds MODEFENCE hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the MODEFENCE price target & forecast page.
MODEFENCE MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy MODEFENCE with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 28.1% | 3.6× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 28.1% | 3.6× |
| Dhan | 29.0% | 3.4× |
Compare every broker on the MODEFENCE MTF page.
MODEFENCE vs peers,sector comparison
About MOTILALAMC - MODEFENCE: sector, index & market-cap context
MOTILALAMC - MODEFENCE (MODEFENCE) is an NSE-listed company.
How the MODEFENCE Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of MOTILALAMC - MODEFENCE's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
MODEFENCE analysis, FAQs
Is MOTILALAMC - MODEFENCE (MODEFENCE) a good buy?
On the numbers, MOTILALAMC - MODEFENCE (MODEFENCE) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 58/100, weighing a 68% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is MODEFENCE overvalued or undervalued?
Valuation ratios for MODEFENCE are tracked live on Downstox.
What is the MODEFENCE share price target for 2031?
MODEFENCE's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹204, with an 80% range of ₹91–₹459 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability MODEFENCE doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of MODEFENCE reaching ₹211 (2×) within 5 years is 48%.
What is the bull case for MODEFENCE?
A 10,000-path probability model puts a 68% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹121 (+14%).
What are the risks in MODEFENCE?
No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.