MODIS
Modis Navnirman Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Modis Navnirman Limited (MODIS) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is MODIS a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Modis Navnirman Limited (MODIS) trades at ₹392,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 68/100.
On the numbers, Modis Navnirman Limited (MODIS) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 68/100, weighing fairly valued at 24.9× earnings, ROE of 20.5%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
MODIS fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How MODIS ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- MODIS's market cap of 769 Cr ranks in the 34th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- MODIS's book value of ₹80 ranks in the 45th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- MODIS's promoter holding of 63.8% ranks in the 60th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- MODIS's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 72.0% ranks in the 90th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- MODIS's 3-year revenue growth of 65.0% ranks in the top 5% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- MODIS's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.04x is lower than 88% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is MODIS overvalued? MODIS P/E vs peers
MODIS trades at 24.9× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
MODIS share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 4.0y of MODIS history (53%/yr drift, 43%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MODIS 2027 | ₹238 | ₹404 | ₹688 | +3% |
| MODIS 2028 | ₹197 | ₹415 | ₹875 | +5% |
| MODIS 2029 | ₹163 | ₹426 | ₹1,113 | +8% |
| MODIS 2030 | ₹145 | ₹437 | ₹1,313 | +11% |
| MODIS 2031 | ₹136 | ₹448 | ₹1,482 | +14% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability MODIS goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for MODIS
- MODIS's P/E of 24.9x is lower than 54% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- MODIS's return on equity of 20.5% ranks in the 85th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- MODIS's return on capital employed of 25.8% ranks in the 89th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,113.
The bear case & risks
- No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹163.
MODIS volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 4.0 years MODIS compounded at 53%/year with annualized volatility of 43%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹238-₹688, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
MODIS price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
MODIS price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds MODIS hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the MODIS price target & forecast page.
MODIS Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. MODIS scores 5/8, mixed financial health.
MODIS MTF margin & leverage across 6 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy MODIS with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 6 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Zerodha | 50.00% | 2.0× |
| Groww | 33.02% | 3.0× |
| Kotak Neo | 100.00% | 1.0× |
| Pocketful | 50.00% | 2.0× |
| Fyers | 50.00% | 2.0× |
| Share IndiaCHEAPEST | 32.99% | 3.0× |
Compare every broker on the MODIS MTF page.
About Modis Navnirman Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
Modis Navnirman Limited (MODIS) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹769 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the MODIS Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Modis Navnirman Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
MODIS analysis, FAQs
Is Modis Navnirman Limited (MODIS) a good buy?
On the numbers, Modis Navnirman Limited (MODIS) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 68/100, weighing fairly valued at 24.9× earnings, ROE of 20.5%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is MODIS overvalued or undervalued?
MODIS trades at 24.9× earnings, fairly valued versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the MODIS share price target for 2031?
MODIS's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹448, with an 80% range of ₹136-₹1,482 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability MODIS doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of MODIS reaching ₹788 (2×) within 5 years is 27%.
What is the bull case for MODIS?
MODIS's P/E of 24.9x is lower than 54% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. MODIS's return on equity of 20.5% ranks in the 85th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. MODIS's return on capital employed of 25.8% ranks in the 89th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
What are the risks in MODIS?
No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.