MODISONLTD
Modison Ltd
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Modison Ltd (MODISONLTD) Stock Analysis & Case Study
What the numbers say about MODISONLTD, and the method behind each one.
Modison Ltd (MODISONLTD) trades at ₹323,on the numbers it screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 71/100.
On the numbers, Modison Ltd (MODISONLTD) screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 71/100, weighing inexpensive at 13.2× earnings, ROE of 32.0%, a 47% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
MODISONLTD fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How MODISONLTD ranks against the 2,979 companies in our screener
- MODISONLTD's market cap of 1,043 Cr ranks in the 50th percentile of the 2,979 NSE companies in our screener, as of 13 Aug 2026.
- MODISONLTD's book value of ₹85 ranks in the 54th percentile of the 2,979 NSE companies in our screener, as of 13 Aug 2026.
- MODISONLTD's promoter holding of 52.2% ranks in the 31st percentile of the 2,979 NSE companies in our screener, as of 13 Aug 2026.
- MODISONLTD's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 83.0% ranks in the 90th percentile of the 2,979 NSE companies in our screener, as of 13 Aug 2026.
- MODISONLTD's 3-year revenue growth of 29.0% ranks in the 81st percentile of the 2,979 NSE companies in our screener, as of 13 Aug 2026.
- MODISONLTD's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.64x is lower than 30% of the 2,979 NSE companies in our screener, as of 13 Aug 2026.
Is MODISONLTD overvalued? MODISONLTD P/E vs peers
MODISONLTD trades at 13.2× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
MODISONLTD share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of MODISONLTD history (20%/yr drift, 54%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MODISONLTD 2027 | ₹167 | ₹328 | ₹647 | -4% |
| MODISONLTD 2028 | ₹122 | ₹316 | ₹823 | -7% |
| MODISONLTD 2029 | ₹95 | ₹305 | ₹974 | -11% |
| MODISONLTD 2030 | ₹76 | ₹294 | ₹1,133 | -14% |
| MODISONLTD 2031 | ₹63 | ₹283 | ₹1,277 | -17% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability MODISONLTD goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for MODISONLTD
- MODISONLTD's P/E of 13.2x is lower than 75% of the 2,979 NSE companies in our screener, as of 13 Aug 2026.
- MODISONLTD's return on equity of 32.0% ranks in the 94th percentile of the 2,979 NSE companies in our screener, as of 13 Aug 2026.
- MODISONLTD's return on capital employed of 31.0% ranks in the 92nd percentile of the 2,979 NSE companies in our screener, as of 13 Aug 2026.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹974.
The bear case & risks
- High historical volatility (54%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹95.
MODISONLTD volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years MODISONLTD compounded at 20%/year with annualized volatility of 54%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹167-₹647, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
MODISONLTD price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
MODISONLTD price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds MODISONLTD hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the MODISONLTD price target & forecast page.
MODISONLTD Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. MODISONLTD scores 6/8, mixed financial health.
About Modison Ltd: sector, index & market-cap context
Modison Ltd (MODISONLTD) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹1,043 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the MODISONLTD Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Modison Ltd's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
MODISONLTD analysis, FAQs
Is Modison Ltd (MODISONLTD) a good buy?
On the numbers, Modison Ltd (MODISONLTD) screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 71/100, weighing inexpensive at 13.2× earnings, ROE of 32.0%, a 47% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is MODISONLTD overvalued or undervalued?
MODISONLTD trades at 13.2× earnings, inexpensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the MODISONLTD share price target for 2031?
MODISONLTD's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹283, with an 80% range of ₹63-₹1,277 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability MODISONLTD doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of MODISONLTD reaching ₹682 (2×) within 5 years is 23%.
What is the bull case for MODISONLTD?
MODISONLTD's P/E of 13.2x is lower than 75% of the 2,979 NSE companies in our screener, as of 13 Aug 2026. MODISONLTD's return on equity of 32.0% ranks in the 94th percentile of the 2,979 NSE companies in our screener, as of 13 Aug 2026. MODISONLTD's return on capital employed of 31.0% ranks in the 92nd percentile of the 2,979 NSE companies in our screener, as of 13 Aug 2026.
What are the risks in MODISONLTD?
High historical volatility (54%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
More on MODISONLTD
For information and education only. Downstox is a data and analytics platform, not a SEBI-registered Research Analyst or Investment Adviser. Nothing here is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security. Any scores, ranks, targets or scenarios are model estimates shown with their method, not forecasts or assured outcomes. Markets carry risk; do your own research and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.