MODISONLTD
MODISONLTD
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
MODISONLTD (MODISONLTD) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is MODISONLTD a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
MODISONLTD (MODISONLTD) trades at ₹338,on the numbers it screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 79/100.
On the numbers, MODISONLTD (MODISONLTD) screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 79/100, weighing inexpensive at 13.9× earnings, ROE of 32.0%, a 75% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
MODISONLTD fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is MODISONLTD overvalued? MODISONLTD P/E vs its sector
MODISONLTD's P/E of 13.9× sits below the sector peer median of 14.7×, so on earnings it screens in line with peers, while its 1.03% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
MODISONLTD share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of MODISONLTD history (51%/yr drift, 53%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MODISONLTD 2027 | ₹239 | ₹463 | ₹924 | +44% |
| MODISONLTD 2028 | ₹253 | ₹664 | ₹1,785 | +106% |
| MODISONLTD 2029 | ₹298 | ₹954 | ₹3,161 | +196% |
| MODISONLTD 2030 | ₹357 | ₹1,378 | ₹5,576 | +328% |
| MODISONLTD 2031 | ₹422 | ₹1,983 | ₹9,438 | +516% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability MODISONLTD goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for MODISONLTD
- Trades at just 13.9× earnings, below the ~22× long-run Nifty average, so the valuation leaves room rather than pricing in perfection.
- High return on equity (32.0%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise.
- Strong ROCE (30.9%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
- A 10,000-path probability model puts a 75% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹463 (+44%).
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹3,161.
The bear case & risks
- High historical volatility (53%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹298.
MODISONLTD volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years MODISONLTD compounded at 51%/year with annualized volatility of 53%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹239–₹924, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
MODISONLTD price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
MODISONLTD price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds MODISONLTD hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the MODISONLTD price target & forecast page.
MODISONLTD Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. MODISONLTD scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
MODISONLTD MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy MODISONLTD with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 50.0% | 2.0× |
Compare every broker on the MODISONLTD MTF page.
MODISONLTD vs peers,sector comparison
About MODISONLTD: sector, index & market-cap context
MODISONLTD (MODISONLTD) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹1,092 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.
How the MODISONLTD Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of MODISONLTD's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
MODISONLTD analysis, FAQs
Is MODISONLTD (MODISONLTD) a good buy?
On the numbers, MODISONLTD (MODISONLTD) screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 79/100, weighing inexpensive at 13.9× earnings, ROE of 32.0%, a 75% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is MODISONLTD overvalued or undervalued?
MODISONLTD trades at 13.9× earnings versus a peer median of 14.7×, so it screens cheaper than its sector peers.
What is the MODISONLTD share price target for 2031?
MODISONLTD's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹1,983, with an 80% range of ₹422–₹9,438 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability MODISONLTD doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of MODISONLTD reaching ₹644 (2×) within 5 years is 83%.
What is the bull case for MODISONLTD?
Trades at just 13.9× earnings, below the ~22× long-run Nifty average, so the valuation leaves room rather than pricing in perfection. High return on equity (32.0%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise. Strong ROCE (30.9%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
What are the risks in MODISONLTD?
High historical volatility (53%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.