MOINFRA
Motilal BSE Low Volatility ETF
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Motilal BSE Low Volatility ETF (MOINFRA) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is MOINFRA a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100.
On the numbers, Motilal BSE Low Volatility ETF (MOINFRA) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100, weighing a 70% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
How MOINFRA ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
MOINFRA is not currently one of the 2,373 companies in our live screener universe, so no percentile comparison is available for it here.
MOINFRA share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 1.2y of MOINFRA history (1%/yr drift, 17%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOINFRA 2027 | ₹54 | ₹66 | ₹82 | +9% |
| MOINFRA 2028 | ₹53 | ₹72 | ₹98 | +19% |
| MOINFRA 2029 | ₹54 | ₹79 | ₹115 | +30% |
| MOINFRA 2030 | ₹56 | ₹86 | ₹132 | +41% |
| MOINFRA 2031 | ₹58 | ₹94 | ₹152 | +54% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability MOINFRA goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for MOINFRA
- A 10,000-path probability model puts a 70% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹66 (+9%).
- Relatively low volatility (17%/yr), a steadier ride than the typical mid/small-cap.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹115.
The bear case & risks
- No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹54.
MOINFRA volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 1.2 years MOINFRA compounded at 1%/year with annualized volatility of 17%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹54-₹82, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
MOINFRA price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
MOINFRA price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds MOINFRA hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the MOINFRA price target & forecast page.
MOINFRA MTF margin & leverage across 1 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy MOINFRA with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 1 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 26.50% | 3.8× |
Compare every broker on the MOINFRA MTF page.
About Motilal BSE Low Volatility ETF: sector, index & market-cap context
Motilal BSE Low Volatility ETF (MOINFRA) is an NSE-listed company. See more stocks on our screener.
How the MOINFRA Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Motilal BSE Low Volatility ETF's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
MOINFRA analysis, FAQs
Is Motilal BSE Low Volatility ETF (MOINFRA) a good buy?
On the numbers, Motilal BSE Low Volatility ETF (MOINFRA) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100, weighing a 70% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is MOINFRA overvalued or undervalued?
Valuation ratios for MOINFRA are tracked live on Downstox.
What is the MOINFRA share price target for 2031?
MOINFRA's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹94, with an 80% range of ₹58-₹152 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability MOINFRA doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of MOINFRA reaching ₹121 (2×) within 5 years is 25%.
What is the bull case for MOINFRA?
A 10,000-path probability model puts a 70% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹66 (+9%). Relatively low volatility (17%/yr), a steadier ride than the typical mid/small-cap.
What are the risks in MOINFRA?
No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.