MOL
MEGHMANI ORGANICS LIMITED
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
MEGHMANI ORGANICS LIMITED (MOL) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is MOL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
MEGHMANI ORGANICS LIMITED (MOL) trades at ₹53,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 41/100.
On the numbers, MEGHMANI ORGANICS LIMITED (MOL) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 41/100, weighing fairly valued at 20.8× earnings, ROE of 1.9%, a 49% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
MOL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How MOL ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- MOL's market cap of 1,338 Cr ranks in the 44th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- MOL's book value of ₹61 ranks in the 38th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- MOL's promoter holding of 49.0% ranks in the 28th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- MOL's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of -50.0% ranks in the bottom 3% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- MOL's 3-year revenue growth of -5.0% ranks in the 15th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- MOL's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.47x is lower than 37% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is MOL overvalued? MOL P/E vs peers
MOL trades at 20.8× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
MOL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 4.9y of MOL history (-11%/yr drift, 45%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOL 2027 | ₹29 | ₹52 | ₹92 | -1% |
| MOL 2028 | ₹23 | ₹52 | ₹117 | -2% |
| MOL 2029 | ₹19 | ₹51 | ₹140 | -3% |
| MOL 2030 | ₹16 | ₹51 | ₹162 | -3% |
| MOL 2031 | ₹14 | ₹50 | ₹185 | -4% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability MOL goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for MOL
- MOL's P/E of 20.8x is lower than 61% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Low price-to-book of 0.87×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹140.
The bear case & risks
- MOL's return on equity of 1.9% ranks in the 19th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- MOL's Piotroski F-Score of 3/8 ranks in the 15th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹19.
MOL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 4.9 years MOL compounded at -11%/year with annualized volatility of 45%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹29-₹92, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
MOL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
MOL price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds MOL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the MOL price target & forecast page.
MOL Piotroski F-Score: 3/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. MOL scores 3/8, weak on the financial-strength checks.
MOL MTF margin & leverage across 9 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy MOL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 9 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Zerodha | 36.35% | 2.8× |
| Groww | 36.57% | 2.7× |
| Dhan | 36.35% | 2.8× |
| Kotak Neo | 40.00% | 2.5× |
| Paytm Money | 42.47% | 2.4× |
| PocketfulCHEAPEST | 36.34% | 2.8× |
| Anand Rathi | 36.35% | 2.8× |
| Bajaj Broking | 45.00% | 2.2× |
| Share India | 36.52% | 2.7× |
Compare every broker on the MOL MTF page.
About MEGHMANI ORGANICS LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context
MEGHMANI ORGANICS LIMITED (MOL) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹1,338 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the MOL Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of MEGHMANI ORGANICS LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
MOL analysis, FAQs
Is MEGHMANI ORGANICS LIMITED (MOL) a good buy?
On the numbers, MEGHMANI ORGANICS LIMITED (MOL) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 41/100, weighing fairly valued at 20.8× earnings, ROE of 1.9%, a 49% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is MOL overvalued or undervalued?
MOL trades at 20.8× earnings, fairly valued versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the MOL share price target for 2031?
MOL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹50, with an 80% range of ₹14-₹185 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability MOL doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of MOL reaching ₹105 (2×) within 5 years is 23%.
What is the bull case for MOL?
MOL's P/E of 20.8x is lower than 61% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. Low price-to-book of 0.87×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
What are the risks in MOL?
MOL's return on equity of 1.9% ranks in the 19th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. MOL's Piotroski F-Score of 3/8 ranks in the 15th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.