Case study

MOLDTKPAC

Mold-Tek Packaging Limited

Mixed signals1y model +4.8%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

51Score

Mold-Tek Packaging Limited (MOLDTKPAC) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is MOLDTKPAC a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Mold-Tek Packaging Limited (MOLDTKPAC) trades at ₹685,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 51/100.

On the numbers, Mold-Tek Packaging Limited (MOLDTKPAC) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 51/100, weighing premium at 35.8× earnings, ROE of 17.8%, a 55% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

MOLDTKPAC fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹2,277 Cr
Current price
₹685
P/E ratio
35.8×
P/B ratio
4.69×
Book value
₹146
Dividend yield
0.29%
ROCE
22.2%
ROE
17.8%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How MOLDTKPAC ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is MOLDTKPAC overvalued? MOLDTKPAC P/E vs peers

MOLDTKPAC trades at 35.8× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

MOLDTKPAC share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of MOLDTKPAC history (12%/yr drift, 36%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
MOLDTKPAC 2027₹447₹718₹1,153+5%
MOLDTKPAC 2028₹387₹752₹1,461+10%
MOLDTKPAC 2029₹351₹788₹1,772+15%
MOLDTKPAC 2030₹328₹826₹2,080+20%
MOLDTKPAC 2031₹306₹865₹2,442+26%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability MOLDTKPAC goes up, or doubles?

55%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
61%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
28%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹1,371 within 5 years

The bull case for MOLDTKPAC

  • MOLDTKPAC's return on equity of 17.8% ranks in the 79th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • MOLDTKPAC's return on capital employed of 22.2% ranks in the 85th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,772.

The bear case & risks

  • MOLDTKPAC's P/E of 35.8x is lower than 38% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹351.

MOLDTKPAC volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years MOLDTKPAC compounded at 12%/year with annualized volatility of 36%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹447-₹1,153, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

MOLDTKPAC price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
4.8%
80% range₹447-₹1,153
P(price ↑)55%
P(price 2×)4%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
15.0%
80% range₹351-₹1,772
P(price ↑)59%
P(price 2×)19%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
26.2%
80% range₹306-₹2,442
P(price ↑)61%
P(price 2×)28%

MOLDTKPAC price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
MOLDTKPAC simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds MOLDTKPAC hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the MOLDTKPAC price target & forecast page.

MOLDTKPAC Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. MOLDTKPAC scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

MOLDTKPAC MTF margin & leverage across 9 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy MOLDTKPAC with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 9 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
ZerodhaCHEAPEST32.92%3.0×
Groww33.11%3.0×
Dhan40.00%2.5×
Kotak Neo40.00%2.5×
Paytm Money33.52%3.0×
Pocketful33.11%3.0×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST32.92%3.0×
Bajaj Broking42.00%2.4×
Share India33.07%3.0×

Compare every broker on the MOLDTKPAC MTF page.

About Mold-Tek Packaging Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Mold-Tek Packaging Limited (MOLDTKPAC) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹2,277 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the MOLDTKPAC Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Mold-Tek Packaging Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

MOLDTKPAC analysis, FAQs

Is Mold-Tek Packaging Limited (MOLDTKPAC) a good buy?

On the numbers, Mold-Tek Packaging Limited (MOLDTKPAC) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 51/100, weighing premium at 35.8× earnings, ROE of 17.8%, a 55% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is MOLDTKPAC overvalued or undervalued?

MOLDTKPAC trades at 35.8× earnings, premium versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the MOLDTKPAC share price target for 2031?

MOLDTKPAC's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹865, with an 80% range of ₹306-₹2,442 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability MOLDTKPAC doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of MOLDTKPAC reaching ₹1,371 (2×) within 5 years is 28%.

What is the bull case for MOLDTKPAC?

MOLDTKPAC's return on equity of 17.8% ranks in the 79th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. MOLDTKPAC's return on capital employed of 22.2% ranks in the 85th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in MOLDTKPAC?

MOLDTKPAC's P/E of 35.8x is lower than 38% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

More on MOLDTKPAC