Case study

MOLDTKPAC

MOLDTKPAC

Mixed signals1y model -11.2%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

MOLDTKPAC (MOLDTKPAC) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is MOLDTKPAC a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

MOLDTKPAC (MOLDTKPAC) trades at ₹691,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 45/100.

On the numbers, MOLDTKPAC (MOLDTKPAC) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 45/100, weighing premium at 36.2× earnings, ROE of 17.8%, a 37% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

MOLDTKPAC fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹2,300 Cr
Current price
₹691
P/E ratio
36.2×
P/B ratio
4.73×
Book value
₹146
Dividend yield
0.58%
ROCE
22.2%
ROE
17.8%
Piotroski F-Score
4/9

Is MOLDTKPAC overvalued? MOLDTKPAC P/E vs its sector

MOLDTKPAC's P/E of 36.2× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.58% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.

MOLDTKPAC P/E
36.2×
Peer median P/E
15.9×
MOLDTKPAC div yield
0.58%
Peer median yield
1.65%

MOLDTKPAC share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of MOLDTKPAC history (-6%/yr drift, 36%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
MOLDTKPAC 2027₹391₹620₹978-11%
MOLDTKPAC 2028₹284₹548₹1,047-22%
MOLDTKPAC 2029₹218₹484₹1,084-31%
MOLDTKPAC 2030₹171₹432₹1,092-38%
MOLDTKPAC 2031₹137₹380₹1,068-46%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability MOLDTKPAC goes up, or doubles?

37%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
22%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
5%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹1,396 within 5 years

The bull case for MOLDTKPAC

  • A healthy 17.8% return on equity.
  • Strong ROCE (22.2%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,084.

The bear case & risks

  • At 36.2× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished.
  • The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 37% chance of finishing above today's price.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹218.

MOLDTKPAC volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years MOLDTKPAC compounded at -6%/year with annualized volatility of 36%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹391₹978, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

MOLDTKPAC price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
11.2%
80% range₹391–₹978
P(price ↑)37%
P(price 2×)1%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
30.6%
80% range₹218–₹1,084
P(price ↑)28%
P(price 2×)5%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
45.5%
80% range₹137–₹1,068
P(price ↑)22%
P(price 2×)5%

MOLDTKPAC price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
MOLDTKPAC simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds MOLDTKPAC hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the MOLDTKPAC price target & forecast page.

MOLDTKPAC Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?

4/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. MOLDTKPAC scores 4/9,mixed financial health.

MOLDTKPAC MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy MOLDTKPAC with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
ZerodhaCHEAPEST33.4%3.0×
Dhan40.0%2.5×

Compare every broker on the MOLDTKPAC MTF page.

MOLDTKPAC vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
MOLDTKPAC (this stock)36.2×0.58%₹2,300 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About MOLDTKPAC: sector, index & market-cap context

MOLDTKPAC (MOLDTKPAC) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹2,300 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.

How the MOLDTKPAC Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of MOLDTKPAC's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

MOLDTKPAC analysis, FAQs

Is MOLDTKPAC (MOLDTKPAC) a good buy?

On the numbers, MOLDTKPAC (MOLDTKPAC) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 45/100, weighing premium at 36.2× earnings, ROE of 17.8%, a 37% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is MOLDTKPAC overvalued or undervalued?

MOLDTKPAC trades at 36.2× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.

What is the MOLDTKPAC share price target for 2031?

MOLDTKPAC's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹380, with an 80% range of ₹137₹1,068 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability MOLDTKPAC doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of MOLDTKPAC reaching ₹1,396 (2×) within 5 years is 5%.

What is the bull case for MOLDTKPAC?

A healthy 17.8% return on equity. Strong ROCE (22.2%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.

What are the risks in MOLDTKPAC?

At 36.2× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 37% chance of finishing above today's price.

More on MOLDTKPAC