MON100
Motilal OS Nasdaq100 ETF
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Motilal OS Nasdaq100 ETF (MON100) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is MON100 a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 58/100.
On the numbers, Motilal OS Nasdaq100 ETF (MON100) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 58/100, weighing a 90% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
MON100 share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of MON100 history (36%/yr drift, 26%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MON100 2027 | ₹328 | ₹457 | ₹639 | +39% |
| MON100 2028 | ₹398 | ₹635 | ₹1,025 | +93% |
| MON100 2029 | ₹490 | ₹881 | ₹1,583 | +168% |
| MON100 2030 | ₹620 | ₹1,226 | ₹2,405 | +273% |
| MON100 2031 | ₹795 | ₹1,701 | ₹3,624 | +418% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability MON100 goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for MON100
- A 10,000-path probability model puts a 90% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹457 (+39%).
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,583.
The bear case & risks
- No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹490.
MON100 volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years MON100 compounded at 36%/year with annualized volatility of 26%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹328–₹639, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
MON100 price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
MON100 price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds MON100 hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the MON100 price target & forecast page.
MON100 MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy MON100 with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 25.0% | 4.0× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 20.0% | 5.0× |
Compare every broker on the MON100 MTF page.
MON100 vs peers,sector comparison
About Motilal OS Nasdaq100 ETF: sector, index & market-cap context
Motilal OS Nasdaq100 ETF (MON100) is an NSE-listed company.
How the MON100 Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Motilal OS Nasdaq100 ETF's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
MON100 analysis, FAQs
Is Motilal OS Nasdaq100 ETF (MON100) a good buy?
On the numbers, Motilal OS Nasdaq100 ETF (MON100) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 58/100, weighing a 90% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is MON100 overvalued or undervalued?
Valuation ratios for MON100 are tracked live on Downstox.
What is the MON100 share price target for 2031?
MON100's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹1,701, with an 80% range of ₹795–₹3,624 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability MON100 doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of MON100 reaching ₹657 (2×) within 5 years is 94%.
What is the bull case for MON100?
A 10,000-path probability model puts a 90% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹457 (+39%).
What are the risks in MON100?
No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.