MONTECARLO
Monte Carlo Fashions Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Monte Carlo Fashions Limited (MONTECARLO) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is MONTECARLO a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Monte Carlo Fashions Limited (MONTECARLO) trades at ₹500,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 69/100.
On the numbers, Monte Carlo Fashions Limited (MONTECARLO) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 69/100, weighing inexpensive at 9.9× earnings, ROE of 12.9%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
MONTECARLO fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How MONTECARLO ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- MONTECARLO's market cap of 1,036 Cr ranks in the 40th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- MONTECARLO's book value of ₹437 ranks in the 88th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- MONTECARLO's promoter holding of 73.2% ranks in the 83rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- MONTECARLO's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of -5.0% ranks in the 24th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- MONTECARLO's 3-year revenue growth of 5.0% ranks in the 35th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- MONTECARLO's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.64x is lower than 28% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is MONTECARLO overvalued? MONTECARLO P/E vs peers
MONTECARLO trades at 9.9× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
MONTECARLO share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of MONTECARLO history (1%/yr drift, 36%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MONTECARLO 2027 | ₹323 | ₹511 | ₹808 | +2% |
| MONTECARLO 2028 | ₹278 | ₹522 | ₹978 | +4% |
| MONTECARLO 2029 | ₹243 | ₹533 | ₹1,172 | +7% |
| MONTECARLO 2030 | ₹222 | ₹545 | ₹1,337 | +9% |
| MONTECARLO 2031 | ₹203 | ₹557 | ₹1,531 | +11% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability MONTECARLO goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for MONTECARLO
- MONTECARLO's P/E of 9.9x is lower than 86% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Low price-to-book of 1.14×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
- MONTECARLO's return on equity of 12.9% ranks in the 63rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- MONTECARLO's dividend yield of 4.0% ranks in the top 3% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,172.
The bear case & risks
- No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹243.
MONTECARLO volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years MONTECARLO compounded at 1%/year with annualized volatility of 36%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹323-₹808, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
MONTECARLO price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
MONTECARLO price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds MONTECARLO hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the MONTECARLO price target & forecast page.
MONTECARLO Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. MONTECARLO scores 5/8, mixed financial health.
MONTECARLO MTF margin & leverage across 8 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy MONTECARLO with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 8 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Zerodha | 31.22% | 3.2× |
| Groww | 31.29% | 3.2× |
| Dhan | 40.00% | 2.5× |
| Kotak Neo | 100.00% | 1.0× |
| Paytm Money | 48.29% | 2.1× |
| Pocketful | 31.30% | 3.2× |
| Anand Rathi | 31.22% | 3.2× |
| Share IndiaCHEAPEST | 30.94% | 3.2× |
Compare every broker on the MONTECARLO MTF page.
About Monte Carlo Fashions Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
Monte Carlo Fashions Limited (MONTECARLO) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹1,036 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the MONTECARLO Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Monte Carlo Fashions Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
MONTECARLO analysis, FAQs
Is Monte Carlo Fashions Limited (MONTECARLO) a good buy?
On the numbers, Monte Carlo Fashions Limited (MONTECARLO) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 69/100, weighing inexpensive at 9.9× earnings, ROE of 12.9%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is MONTECARLO overvalued or undervalued?
MONTECARLO trades at 9.9× earnings, inexpensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the MONTECARLO share price target for 2031?
MONTECARLO's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹557, with an 80% range of ₹203-₹1,531 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability MONTECARLO doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of MONTECARLO reaching ₹999 (2×) within 5 years is 24%.
What is the bull case for MONTECARLO?
MONTECARLO's P/E of 9.9x is lower than 86% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. Low price-to-book of 1.14×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets. MONTECARLO's return on equity of 12.9% ranks in the 63rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
What are the risks in MONTECARLO?
No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.