Case study

MOSCHIP

Moschip Technologies Ltd

High-risk on the numbers1y model -0.0%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

28Score

Moschip Technologies Ltd (MOSCHIP) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is MOSCHIP a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Moschip Technologies Ltd (MOSCHIP) trades at ₹207,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 28/100.

On the numbers, Moschip Technologies Ltd (MOSCHIP) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 28/100, weighing expensive at 126.0× earnings, ROE of 11.0%, a 50% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

MOSCHIP fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹4,026 Cr
Current price
₹207
P/E ratio
126.0×
P/B ratio
9.81×
Book value
₹21
ROCE
11.0%
ROE
11.0%
Piotroski F-Score
5/8

How MOSCHIP ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is MOSCHIP overvalued? MOSCHIP P/E vs peers

MOSCHIP trades at 126.0× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

MOSCHIP share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of MOSCHIP history (23%/yr drift, 53%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
MOSCHIP 2027₹104₹207₹409-0%
MOSCHIP 2028₹79₹207₹542-0%
MOSCHIP 2029₹62₹207₹686-0%
MOSCHIP 2030₹53₹207₹813-0%
MOSCHIP 2031₹45₹207₹942-0%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability MOSCHIP goes up, or doubles?

50%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
50%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
28%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹413 within 5 years

The bull case for MOSCHIP

  • Moschip Technologies Ltd is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹686.

The bear case & risks

  • MOSCHIP's P/E of 126.0x is lower than 8% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • A steep 9.8× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
  • MOSCHIP's return on equity of 11.0% ranks in the 55th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • High historical volatility (53%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹62.

MOSCHIP volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years MOSCHIP compounded at 23%/year with annualized volatility of 53%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹104-₹409, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

MOSCHIP price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
0.0%
80% range₹104-₹409
P(price ↑)50%
P(price 2×)10%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
0.0%
80% range₹62-₹686
P(price ↑)50%
P(price 2×)23%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
0.0%
80% range₹45-₹942
P(price ↑)50%
P(price 2×)28%

MOSCHIP price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
MOSCHIP simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds MOSCHIP hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the MOSCHIP price target & forecast page.

MOSCHIP Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?

5/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. MOSCHIP scores 5/8, mixed financial health.

MOSCHIP MTF margin & leverage across 9 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy MOSCHIP with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 9 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox40.04%2.5×
Zerodha39.99%2.5×
Groww40.28%2.5×
Dhan40.00%2.5×
Kotak Neo40.00%2.5×
Paytm Money43.23%2.3×
PocketfulCHEAPEST39.91%2.5×
Anand Rathi39.99%2.5×
Share India40.23%2.5×

Compare every broker on the MOSCHIP MTF page.

About Moschip Technologies Ltd: sector, index & market-cap context

Moschip Technologies Ltd (MOSCHIP) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹4,026 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the MOSCHIP Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Moschip Technologies Ltd's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

MOSCHIP analysis, FAQs

Is Moschip Technologies Ltd (MOSCHIP) a good buy?

On the numbers, Moschip Technologies Ltd (MOSCHIP) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 28/100, weighing expensive at 126.0× earnings, ROE of 11.0%, a 50% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is MOSCHIP overvalued or undervalued?

MOSCHIP trades at 126.0× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the MOSCHIP share price target for 2031?

MOSCHIP's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹207, with an 80% range of ₹45-₹942 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability MOSCHIP doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of MOSCHIP reaching ₹413 (2×) within 5 years is 28%.

What is the bull case for MOSCHIP?

Moschip Technologies Ltd is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in MOSCHIP?

MOSCHIP's P/E of 126.0x is lower than 8% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. A steep 9.8× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books. MOSCHIP's return on equity of 11.0% ranks in the 55th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

More on MOSCHIP