MOTHERSON
Samvardhana Motherson Intl
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Samvardhana Motherson Intl (MOTHERSON) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is MOTHERSON a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Samvardhana Motherson Intl (MOTHERSON) trades at ₹146,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100.
On the numbers, Samvardhana Motherson Intl (MOTHERSON) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100, weighing premium at 37.2× earnings, ROE of 10.9%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
MOTHERSON fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is MOTHERSON overvalued? MOTHERSON P/E vs its Auto Ancillary
MOTHERSON's P/E of 37.2× sits above the Auto Ancillary peer median of 17.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.41% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.27%.
MOTHERSON share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of MOTHERSON history (8%/yr drift, 36%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOTHERSON 2027 | ₹93 | ₹148 | ₹233 | +1% |
| MOTHERSON 2028 | ₹78 | ₹149 | ₹284 | +2% |
| MOTHERSON 2029 | ₹69 | ₹151 | ₹338 | +3% |
| MOTHERSON 2030 | ₹61 | ₹152 | ₹384 | +5% |
| MOTHERSON 2031 | ₹57 | ₹155 | ₹434 | +6% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability MOTHERSON goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for MOTHERSON
- Samvardhana Motherson Intl is part of the nifty50 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹338.
The bear case & risks
- At 37.2× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished.
- Return on equity is a soft 10.9%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹69.
MOTHERSON volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years MOTHERSON compounded at 8%/year with annualized volatility of 36%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹93–₹233, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
MOTHERSON price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
MOTHERSON price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds MOTHERSON hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the MOTHERSON price target & forecast page.
MOTHERSON Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. MOTHERSON scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
MOTHERSON MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy MOTHERSON with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 32.1% | 3.1× |
| Zerodha | 27.4% | 3.6× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 25.1% | 4.0× |
Compare every broker on the MOTHERSON MTF page.
MOTHERSON vs peers,Auto Ancillary comparison
About Samvardhana Motherson Intl: sector, index & market-cap context
Samvardhana Motherson Intl (MOTHERSON) is a large-cap NSE-listed company in the Auto Ancillary sector, and a constituent of the Nifty 50 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹1.54L Cr. See more Nifty 50 stocks.
How the MOTHERSON Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Samvardhana Motherson Intl's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
MOTHERSON analysis, FAQs
Is Samvardhana Motherson Intl (MOTHERSON) a good buy?
On the numbers, Samvardhana Motherson Intl (MOTHERSON) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100, weighing premium at 37.2× earnings, ROE of 10.9%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is MOTHERSON overvalued or undervalued?
MOTHERSON trades at 37.2× earnings versus a peer median of 17.9×, so it screens richer than its Auto Ancillary peers.
What is the MOTHERSON share price target for 2031?
MOTHERSON's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹155, with an 80% range of ₹57–₹434 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability MOTHERSON doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of MOTHERSON reaching ₹291 (2×) within 5 years is 21%.
What is the bull case for MOTHERSON?
Samvardhana Motherson Intl is part of the nifty50 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
What are the risks in MOTHERSON?
At 37.2× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished. Return on equity is a soft 10.9%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.