MOTHERSON
Samvardhana Motherson International Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Samvardhana Motherson International Limited (MOTHERSON) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is MOTHERSON a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Samvardhana Motherson International Limited (MOTHERSON) trades at ₹168,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100.
On the numbers, Samvardhana Motherson International Limited (MOTHERSON) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100, weighing premium at 38.9× earnings, ROE of 11.2%, a 55% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
MOTHERSON fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How MOTHERSON ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- MOTHERSON's market cap of 1.78L Cr ranks in the top 2% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- MOTHERSON's book value of ₹39 ranks in the 28th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- MOTHERSON's promoter holding of 48.6% ranks in the 27th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- MOTHERSON's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 40.0% ranks in the 78th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- MOTHERSON's 3-year revenue growth of 17.0% ranks in the 67th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- MOTHERSON's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.47x is lower than 37% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is MOTHERSON overvalued? MOTHERSON P/E vs peers
MOTHERSON trades at 38.9× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
MOTHERSON share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of MOTHERSON history (14%/yr drift, 36%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOTHERSON 2027 | ₹112 | ₹177 | ₹280 | +5% |
| MOTHERSON 2028 | ₹97 | ₹186 | ₹355 | +10% |
| MOTHERSON 2029 | ₹87 | ₹195 | ₹438 | +16% |
| MOTHERSON 2030 | ₹81 | ₹204 | ₹517 | +21% |
| MOTHERSON 2031 | ₹76 | ₹214 | ₹603 | +27% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability MOTHERSON goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for MOTHERSON
- Samvardhana Motherson International Limited is part of the nifty50 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹438.
The bear case & risks
- MOTHERSON's P/E of 38.9x is lower than 34% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- MOTHERSON's return on equity of 11.2% ranks in the 56th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹87.
MOTHERSON volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years MOTHERSON compounded at 14%/year with annualized volatility of 36%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹112-₹280, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
MOTHERSON price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
MOTHERSON price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds MOTHERSON hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the MOTHERSON price target & forecast page.
MOTHERSON Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. MOTHERSON scores 6/8, mixed financial health.
MOTHERSON MTF margin & leverage across 11 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy MOTHERSON with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 11 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 27.99% | 3.6× |
| Zerodha | 27.30% | 3.7× |
| Groww | 26.84% | 3.7× |
| Dhan | 24.99% | 4.0× |
| Kotak Neo | 25.00% | 4.0× |
| Paytm MoneyCHEAPEST | 24.53% | 4.1× |
| Pocketful | 31.74% | 3.2× |
| Fyers | 32.26% | 3.1× |
| Anand Rathi | 31.99% | 3.1× |
| Bajaj Broking | 26.00% | 3.8× |
| Share India | 31.51% | 3.2× |
Compare every broker on the MOTHERSON MTF page.
About Samvardhana Motherson International Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
Samvardhana Motherson International Limited (MOTHERSON) is a large-cap NSE-listed company in the Auto Ancillary sector, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹1.78L Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the MOTHERSON Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Samvardhana Motherson International Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
MOTHERSON analysis, FAQs
Is Samvardhana Motherson International Limited (MOTHERSON) a good buy?
On the numbers, Samvardhana Motherson International Limited (MOTHERSON) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100, weighing premium at 38.9× earnings, ROE of 11.2%, a 55% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is MOTHERSON overvalued or undervalued?
MOTHERSON trades at 38.9× earnings, premium versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the MOTHERSON share price target for 2031?
MOTHERSON's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹214, with an 80% range of ₹76-₹603 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability MOTHERSON doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of MOTHERSON reaching ₹337 (2×) within 5 years is 29%.
What is the bull case for MOTHERSON?
Samvardhana Motherson International Limited is part of the nifty50 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
What are the risks in MOTHERSON?
MOTHERSON's P/E of 38.9x is lower than 34% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. MOTHERSON's return on equity of 11.2% ranks in the 56th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.